UMPIRY

Iva Ivanova vs Rositsa Dencheva — W50 Burgas Quarter-final

W50 BurgasQuarter-finalClayFri 9 Oct · 12:35
Iva IvanovaWTA #624 · BUL20%
VSStrong favourite · Dencheva R.
Rositsa Dencheva(4)WTA #205 · BUL80%
Win probabilityWho is more likely to winStrong favourite · Dencheva R.
20%80%

Clear edge for Dencheva R. across form, surface and matchup. Upsets at this level happen in about 1 in 5 such matches.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability
Ivanova I.4.9/10
Heavy underdogBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6
Dencheva R.5.8/10
Slight disadvantageBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6
Why
Surface form7 of last 7 on clayInformative
Recent run7-match win streakInformative
Head-to-headNo prior meetingsBoth players
This eventDidn't play here last yearBoth players
ELO1 581
Clay ELO1 522
Last 104–6
Age20
EarningsCareer $25K2026 $10K
ELO1 723
Clay ELO1 689
Last 108–2
Age19
EarningsCareer $62K2026 $31K

Iva Ivanova faces Rositsa Dencheva in the W50 Burgas quarter-final on clay. Rositsa Dencheva holds the paper edge — ranked #205.

Key context

Common opponents

0 shared · last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months. Surface form and ELO carry more weight here.

Head-to-head

They have not met before.

Evidence

Ivanova I.Dencheva R.
FormLast 10 matches each · 2026
Win–loss4–68–2 (ahead)
Season win rate65% (22–12)78% (39–11) (ahead)
RatingUmpiry ELO
Overall ELO15811723 (ahead)
Clay-court ELO15221689 (ahead)
Serve vs returnLast 27 matches each
1st-serve points won58%58%
Return points won50%51% (ahead)
Aces / match0.6 (ahead)0.1
ClutchLast 27 matches each
Break points saved49%52% (ahead)

Draw

Odds

Conditions

12:35 local
SurfaceClay
Forecast24°C · Clear
Wind12 km/h
Humidity48%

Cite this

Umpiry, "Iva Ivanova vs Rositsa Dencheva — W50 Burgas Quarter-final", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-10-09/dencheva-vs-ivanova-w50-burgas-qf?utm_source=cite (as of 9 October 2026).