Luciano Darderi vs Stefanos Tsitsipas — Shanghai Masters Round of 64

Shanghai MastersR64HardSat 10 Oct · 10:00
Win probabilityWho is more likely to winSlight edge · Tsitsipas S.
34%66%

Tsitsipas S. favoured, but within the range where form on the day decides.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability
Darderi L.6.2/10
Even match
Tsitsipas S.7.1/10
Strong advantage
Why
Surface+124 Hard Elo edgeSupports Tsitsipas S.
Overall ratingOverall Elo 1834Informative
This eventReached the R32 here last yearAgainst the prediction · Darderi L.
Travel1h west, 7d agoInformative
Long matches2 three-setters in 14 daysAgainst the prediction · Darderi L.
ELO1 993
Hard ELO1 719
Last 105–5
Age24
Height183 cm
PlaysRight
EarningsCareer $5.2M2026 $1.8M
ELO2 045
Hard ELO1 899
Last 107–3
Age28
Height193 cm
PlaysRight
EarningsCareer $38.2M2026 $1.4M

Luciano Darderi faces Stefanos Tsitsipas in the Shanghai Masters round of 64 on hard. They have met 2 times, Stefanos Tsitsipas leading 2–0, though this is their first meeting on hard. Stefanos Tsitsipas brings the better recent hard form (7 of 10).

Key context

Common opponents

3 shared · last 12 months

Darderi L. and Tsitsipas S. faced 3 of the same opponents in the last 12 months. Darderi L. went 1–4 (20%) against them, Tsitsipas S. 1–2 (33%). Results against comparable opponents are close (1 : 1 better-results split).

1–420%Darderi L. · better vs 1Record vs common opponents1–233%Tsitsipas S. · better vs 1
Vs common opponents · derived from scorelines
3–8Sets3–4
38–61Games40–40
1–0Tiebreaks1–2
0–1Deciding sets0–1

Only 3 common opponents — small sample, treat as indicative.

Head-to-head

2 meetings · Tsitsipas S. leads 2–0
02

Evidence

Darderi L.Tsitsipas S.
FormLast 10 matches each · 2026
Win–loss5–57–3 (ahead)
Season win rate59% (36–25)63% (34–20) (ahead)
RatingUmpiry ELO
Overall ELO19932045 (ahead)
Hard-court ELO17191899 (ahead)
Serve vs returnLast 39 vs 34 matches
1st-serve points won72%78% (ahead)
Return points won37% (ahead)34%
Aces / match6.36.9 (ahead)
ClutchLast 39 vs 34 matches
Break points saved61%68% (ahead)

Draw

Odds

Conditions

10:00 local
SurfaceHard · fast
Forecast25°C · Mainly clear
Wind4 km/h
Humidity68%

Court pace fast: big serves, short points.

Freshness

Last 7 & 14 days
Darderi L.Tsitsipas S.
7 — fresherDays since last match1
1 — fresherMatches · 7 days2
22 — fresherGames · 7 days54
2 — fresherMatches · 14 days5
44 — fresherGames · 14 days122
Green marks the fresher player.

Cite this

Umpiry, "Luciano Darderi vs Stefanos Tsitsipas — Shanghai Masters Round of 64", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-10-10/darderi-vs-tsitsipas-shanghai-masters-r64?utm_source=cite (as of 10 October 2026).