Miguel Tobon vs Tomas Barrios Vera | Antofagasta Round of 16

UMPIRY

AntofagastaR16ClayThu 8 Oct · ~12:30CANCHA CENTRAL · After 1 match

Miguel TobonATP #506 · COL40%

VSSlight edge · Barrios Vera T.

Tomas Barrios Vera(3)ATP #132 · CHI60%

Win probabilityWho is more likely to winSlight edge · Barrios Vera T.

40%60%

Barrios Vera T. favoured, but within the range where form on the day decides.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability

Tobon M.4.9/10

Heavy underdog

Barrios Vera T.7.2/10

Strong advantage

Why

Surface+278 Clay Elo edgeSupports Barrios Vera T.

Overall ratingOverall Elo 1615Supports Barrios Vera T.

Head-to-headNo prior meetingsBoth players

This eventDidn't play here last yearBoth players

Long matches2 three-setters in 14 daysBoth players

ELO1 583

Clay ELO1 540

Last 106–4

Age20

Height185 cm

PlaysRight

ELO1 804

Clay ELO1 712

Last 107–3

Age28

Height191 cm

PlaysRight

Miguel Tobon faces Tomas Barrios Vera in the Antofagasta round of 16 on clay. Tomas Barrios Vera holds the paper edge — ranked #132, a roughly 280-point clay Elo advantage.

Key context

Freshness: Workload contrast: Miguel Tobon 51 games in 14 days, Tomas Barrios Vera 103.
Last match: Miguel Tobon dropped the opening set before beating Thiago Cigarran 4–6 6–4 6–1.
Last match: Tomas Barrios Vera dropped just 6 games past Franco Roncadelli.

Common opponents

0 shared · last 12 months

No common opponents in the last 12 months. Surface form and ELO carry more weight here.

Head-to-head

They have not met before.

Evidence

Tobon M.Barrios Vera T.

FormLast 10 matches each · 2026

Win–loss6–47–3

Season win rate53% (23–20)51% (28–27)

RatingUmpiry ELO

Overall ELO15831804

Clay-court ELO15401712

Serve vs returnLast 20 vs 28 matches

1st-serve points won73%65%

Return points won39%38%

Aces / match5.83.4

ClutchLast 20 vs 28 matches

Break points saved57%60%

When it starts

CANCHA CENTRAL · After 1 match · Followed by

1Heide G. v Ribeiro E.Starts at 11:00
2This match: Tobon M. v Barrios Vera T.This match
3Prado Angelo J. v Boscardin Dias P.Not before 15:00

Draw

Odds

Conditions

CANCHA CENTRAL · ~12:30 local

SurfaceClay · slow

Forecast21°C · Overcast

Wind14 km/h

Humidity66%

Court pace slow: low bounce, long rallies.

Freshness

Last 7 & 14 days

Tobon M.Barrios Vera T.

2Days since last match2

1Matches · 7 days3

27Games · 7 days72

2Matches · 14 days5

51Games · 14 days103

Green marks the fresher player.

Cite this

Umpiry, "Miguel Tobon vs Tomas Barrios Vera — Antofagasta Round of 16", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-10-08/tobon-vs-vera-antofagasta-r16?utm_source=cite (as of 8 October 2026).