UMPIRY

Alexandre Reco vs Jelle Sels — M15 Rodez Round of 16

M15 RodezR16HardThu 8 Oct · 14:05
Alexandre RecoATP #833 · FRA25%
VSClear favourite · Sels J.
Jelle Sels(3)ATP #579 · NED75%
Win probabilityWho is more likely to winClear favourite · Sels J.
25%75%

Clear edge for Sels J. across form, surface and matchup. Upsets at this level happen in about 1 in 4 such matches.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability
Reco A.4.9/10
Heavy underdogBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6
Sels J.4.5/10
Heavy underdogBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6
Why
Surface form5 of last 10 on hardAgainst the prediction · Reco A.
Recent runLost last 3Informative
Head-to-headNo prior meetingsBoth players
This eventDidn't play here last yearBoth players
ELO1 567
Hard ELO1 556
Last 106–4
Age27
Height185 cm
PlaysRight
EarningsCareer $38K2026 $7K
ELO1 645
Hard ELO1 612
Last 104–6
Age31
Height188 cm
PlaysRight
EarningsCareer $408K2026 $13K

Alexandre Reco faces Jelle Sels in the M15 Rodez round of 16 on hard. Jelle Sels holds the paper edge — ranked #579.

Key context

Common opponents

0 shared · last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months. Surface form and ELO carry more weight here.

Head-to-head

They have not met before.

Evidence

Reco A.Sels J.
FormLast 10 matches each · 2026
Win–loss6–4 (ahead)4–6
Season win rate52% (11–10) (ahead)38% (11–18)
RatingUmpiry ELO
Overall ELO15671645 (ahead)
Hard-court ELO15561612 (ahead)
Serve vs returnLast 5 vs 17 matches
1st-serve points won65% (ahead)63%
Return points won40% (ahead)38%
Aces / match1.83.6 (ahead)
ClutchLast 5 vs 17 matches
Break points saved42%51% (ahead)

Draw

Odds

Conditions

14:05 local
SurfaceHard
Forecast12°C · Overcast
Wind19 km/h
Humidity77%

Freshness

Last 7 & 14 days
Reco A.Sels J.
9Days since last match11 — fresher
0Matches · 7 days0
0Games · 7 days0
3Matches · 14 days1 — fresher
60Games · 14 days17 — fresher
Green marks the fresher player.

Cite this

Umpiry, "Alexandre Reco vs Jelle Sels — M15 Rodez Round of 16", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-10-08/reco-vs-sels-m15-rodez-r16?utm_source=cite (as of 8 October 2026).