Jessica Pieri vs Nina Radovanovic | Preview, H2H & Win Probability

UMPIRY

W35 Santa Margherita di PulaR16ClayThu 8 Oct · 11:05

Jessica Pieri(5)WTA #323 · ITA52%

VSToss-up

Nina RadovanovicWTA #607 · FRA48%

Win probabilityWho is more likely to winToss-up

52%48%

No meaningful edge. Serve performance in the first set is the likeliest tiebreaker.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability

Pieri J.5.3/10

Clear underdogBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6

Radovanovic N.4.6/10

Heavy underdogBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6

Why

Surface form6 of last 10 on clayInformative

Head-to-headNo prior meetingsBoth players

This eventDidn't play here last yearBoth players

ELO1 640

Clay ELO1 623

Last 107–3

Age29

EarningsCareer $342K2026 $44K

ELO1 645

Clay ELO1 586

Last 107–3

Age22

EarningsCareer $79K2026 $10K

Jessica Pieri faces Nina Radovanovic in the W35 Santa Margherita di Pula round of 16 on clay. Jessica Pieri holds the paper edge — ranked #323. Recent clay form is closely matched.

Key context

Last match: Jessica Pieri dropped just 3 games past Tena Lukas.
Last match: Nina Radovanovic dropped just 4 games past Angelica Raggi.
Surface form: Both 7 of 10 on clay recently — court-specific quality nearly identical despite the ranking gap.

Common opponents

0 shared · last 12 months

No common opponents in the last 12 months. Surface form and ELO carry more weight here.

Head-to-head

They have not met before.

Evidence

Pieri J.Radovanovic N.

FormLast 10 matches each · 2026

Win–loss7–37–3

Season win rate42% (14–19)78% (31–9)

RatingUmpiry ELO

Overall ELO16401645

Clay-court ELO16231586

Serve vs returnLast 17 vs 11 matches

1st-serve points won52%59%

Return points won43%49%

Aces / match0.01.5

ClutchLast 17 vs 11 matches

Break points saved52%48%

Draw

Odds

Conditions

11:05 local

SurfaceClay · slow

Forecast26°C · Partly cloudy

Wind6 km/h

Humidity64%

Court pace slow: low bounce, long rallies.

Cite this

Umpiry, "Jessica Pieri vs Nina Radovanovic — W35 Santa Margherita di Pula Round of 16", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-10-08/pieri-vs-radovanovic-w35-santa-margherita-di-pula-r16?utm_source=cite (as of 8 October 2026).