Zsombor Piros vs Elmer Moller | Braga Round of 16

UMPIRY

BragaR16ClayThu 8 Oct · ~14:30CENTRE COURT · After 1 match

Zsombor Piros(1)ATP #114 · HUN70%

VSClear favourite · Piros Z.

Elmer MollerATP #181 · DEN30%

Win probabilityWho is more likely to winClear favourite · Piros Z.

70%30%

Clear edge for Piros Z. across form, surface and matchup. Upsets at this level happen in about 1 in 3 such matches.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability

Piros Z.6.5/10

Marginal edge

Moller E.5.6/10

Slight disadvantage

Why

Surface+27 Clay Elo edgeSupports Piros Z.

Overall ratingOverall Elo 1661Supports Piros Z.

Head-to-headLeads 1–0 on claySupports Piros Z.

This eventDidn't play here last yearBoth players

Long matches1 three-setter in 14 daysBoth players

ELO1 841

Clay ELO1 744

Last 106–4

Age26

Height180 cm

PlaysRight

EarningsCareer $1.1M2026 $248K

ELO1 769

Clay ELO1 726

Last 104–6

Age23

Height183 cm

PlaysRight

EarningsCareer $742K2026 $170K

Zsombor Piros faces Elmer Moller in the Braga round of 16 on clay. Zsombor Piros holds the paper edge — ranked #114, leading the head-to-head 1–0, a roughly 30-point clay Elo advantage. Recent clay form is closely matched.

Key context

Under pressure: Elmer Moller has the edge on pressure points (Clutch Rating 69 vs Zsombor Piros's 5).
Last match: Elmer Moller edged Thiago Monteiro in three tight sets (7–6 5–7 6–4).
Head-to-head: Zsombor Piros leads the head-to-head 1–0. Last met at Zagreb 2026.

Common opponents

1 shared · last 12 months

Piros Z. and Moller E. faced 1 of the same opponent in the last 12 months. Piros Z. went 0–1 (0%) against them, Moller E. 0–1 (0%).

0–10%Piros Z. · better vs 0Record vs common opponents0–10%Moller E. · better vs 0

Vs common opponents · derived from scorelines

0–2Sets0–2

5–12Games12–14

0–0Tiebreaks0–2

Only 1 common opponent — too few for any conclusion. Shown without assessment.

vs Prizmic D.#97L3-6 2-6Madrid Masters · clayL6-7 6-7DEN vs CRO · hard

Head-to-head

1 meeting · Piros Z. leads 1–0

Piros Z.May 2026ZagrebClay2-6 6-3 4-6

Evidence

Piros Z.Moller E.

FormLast 10 matches each · 2026

Win–loss6–44–6

Season win rate69% (42–19)45% (19–23)

RatingUmpiry ELO

Overall ELO18411769

Clay-court ELO17441726

Serve vs returnLast 23 vs 16 matches

1st-serve points won70%61%

Return points won39%39%

Aces / match4.01.8

ClutchLast 23 vs 16 matches

Break points saved71%55%

When it starts

CENTRE COURT · After 1 match · Followed by

1Pereira T. v Sanchez Izquierdo N.Not before 13:00
2This match: Piros Z. v Moller E.This match
3Gaubas V. v Ajdukovic D.Followed by

Draw

Odds

Conditions

CENTRE COURT · ~14:30 local

SurfaceClay · slow

Forecast23°C · Mainly clear

Wind4 km/h

Humidity45%

Court pace slow: low bounce, long rallies.

Freshness

Last 7 & 14 days

Piros Z.Moller E.

3Days since last match3

1Matches · 7 days1

30Games · 7 days35

3Matches · 14 days2

70Games · 14 days54

Green marks the fresher player.

Cite this

Umpiry, "Zsombor Piros vs Elmer Moller — Braga Round of 16", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-10-08/moller-vs-piros-braga-r16?utm_source=cite (as of 8 October 2026).