UMPIRY

Baotong Xu vs Tian Jialin — W35 Lagos Round of 16

W35 LagosR16HardThu 8 Oct · 10:35
Baotong XuCHN25%
VSClear favourite · Jialin T.
Tian Jialin(8)WTA #609 · CHN75%
Win probabilityWho is more likely to winClear favourite · Jialin T.
25%75%

Clear edge for Jialin T. across form, surface and matchup. Upsets at this level happen in about 1 in 4 such matches.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability
Xu B.5.9/10
Even matchBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6
Jialin T.6.0/10
Even matchBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6
Why
Long matches1 three-setter in 14 daysInformative
Head-to-headNo prior meetingsBoth players
This eventDidn't play here last yearBoth players
ELO1 507
Hard ELO1 504
Last 103–1
Age16
ELO1 588
Hard ELO1 578
Last 105–5
Age20

Common opponents

0 shared · last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months. Surface form and ELO carry more weight here.

Head-to-head

They have not met before.

Evidence

Xu B.Jialin T.
FormLast 4 vs 10 matches · 2026
Win–loss3–1 (ahead)5–5
Season win rate75% (3–1) (ahead)59% (20–14)
RatingUmpiry ELO
Overall ELO15071588 (ahead)
Hard-court ELO15041578 (ahead)

Draw

Odds

Conditions

10:35 local
SurfaceHard
Forecast28°C · Overcast
Wind10 km/h
Humidity79%

Cite this

Umpiry, "Baotong Xu vs Tian Jialin — W35 Lagos Round of 16", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-10-08/jialin-vs-xu-w35-lagos-r16?utm_source=cite (as of 8 October 2026).