Giovanni Oradini vs Federico Iannaccone

UMPIRY

M25 Santa Margherita di PulaR16ClayThu 8 Oct · 11:05

Giovanni OradiniATP #675 · ITA49%

VSToss-up

Federico IannacconeATP #587 · ITA51%

Win probabilityWho is more likely to winToss-up

49%51%

No meaningful edge. Serve performance in the first set is the likeliest tiebreaker.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability

Oradini G.4.8/10

Heavy underdogBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6

Iannaccone F.4.8/10

Heavy underdogBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6

Why

Surface form4 of last 10 on clayAgainst the prediction · Oradini G.

Recent runLost last 2Informative

Head-to-headLeads 1–0 on clayInformative

Long matches1 three-setter in 14 daysInformative

This eventDidn't play here last yearBoth players

ELO1 644

Clay ELO1 619

Last 105–5

Age29

Height188 cm

PlaysLeft

EarningsCareer $143K2026 $11K

ELO1 650

Clay ELO1 596

Last 105–5

Age27

Height183 cm

PlaysRight

EarningsCareer $106K2026 $9K

Giovanni Oradini faces Federico Iannaccone in the M25 Santa Margherita di Pula round of 16 on clay. They have met once, Giovanni Oradini leading 1–0. Recent clay form is closely matched.

Key context

Freshness: Workload contrast: Giovanni Oradini 0 games in 14 days, Federico Iannaccone 26.
Last match: Giovanni Oradini dropped just 6 games past Marco Furlanetto.
Last match: Federico Iannaccone handed Lorenzo Carboni a second-set bagel in a 6–3 6–0 win.

Common opponents

0 shared · last 12 months

No common opponents in the last 12 months. Surface form and ELO carry more weight here.

Head-to-head

1 meeting · Oradini G. leads 1–0

Oradini G.August 2022M25 Padova 1Clay6-1 6-3

Evidence

Oradini G.Iannaccone F.

FormLast 10 matches each · 2026

Win–loss5–55–5

Season win rate61% (22–14)59% (19–13)

RatingUmpiry ELO

Overall ELO16441650

Clay-court ELO16191596

Serve vs returnLast 11 vs 15 matches

1st-serve points won70%61%

Return points won42%44%

Aces / match4.91.1

ClutchLast 11 vs 15 matches

Break points saved61%52%

Draw

Odds

Conditions

11:05 local

SurfaceClay

Forecast26°C · Partly cloudy

Wind6 km/h

Humidity64%

Freshness

Last 7 & 14 days

Oradini G.Iannaccone F.

15Days since last match10

0Matches · 7 days0

0Games · 7 days0

0Matches · 14 days1

0Games · 14 days26

Green marks the fresher player.

Cite this

Umpiry, "Giovanni Oradini vs Federico Iannaccone — M25 Santa Margherita di Pula Round of 16", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-10-08/iannaccone-vs-oradini-m25-santa-margherita-di-pula-r16?utm_source=cite (as of 8 October 2026).