Moez Echargui vs Daniil Glinka — Villena Round of 16

VillenaR16HardThu 8 Oct · 11:00PISTA 2Live
Odds

Glinka D. a break up in the 2ndEchargui M. broken once · Glinka D. unbroken

  • 3 games in a row · Glinka D.

Moez Echargui faces Daniil Glinka in the Villena round of 16 on hard. Daniil Glinka is the paper favourite — ranked #178, a roughly 80-point hard Elo advantage — but Moez Echargui has won their only previous meeting. Recent hard form is closely matched.

Key context

Serve flowEchargui M. broken 4 times · Glinka D. broken once.
  • Hold to love/15
  • Hold to 30
  • Hold to 40 / deuce
  • Broken
  • Result unknown
Echargui M.
1/5Glinka D.
5/6
Set 1Set 2

Match momentum

Last 30 pointsEchargui M.Glinka D.
EvenEchargui M.Glinka D.
Swinging toGlinka D.74
1Last 12 points11
2Last 3 games12
1/6Break points4/7
30 pointsNow

Break of serve

Live statistics · Serve vs return

Echargui M.Glinka D.
Serve
  • 0Aces1
  • 0Double faults2
  • 50%1st serve points won75%
  • 20% · 1/5Service games held83% · 5/6
Return
  • 17%Break points won50%
  • 1Breaks of serve4

Key moments

Latest first
  1. BREAKSet 2 · Game 2Glinka D. broke serve
  2. HOLD 0Set 2 · Game 1Glinka D. held to love
  3. SETSet 1 · Game 8Glinka D. took the set
  4. BREAKSet 1 · Game 8Glinka D. broke serve
  5. BREAKSet 1 · Game 6Glinka D. broke serve
  6. BREAKSet 1 · Game 4Glinka D. broke serve
  7. BREAKSet 1 · Game 3Echargui M. broke serve
  8. HOLD 0Set 1 · Game 1Glinka D. held to love
Pre-match context

Glinka D. came in with the higher hard rating (1683 vs 1628); Echargui M. with the better recent record (6–4 vs 5–5) and the head-to-head lead (1–0).

Pre-match prediction

Set before the first ball · not updated in play
Pre-match win probability
32%68%
Umpiry Score
6.1/10/106.3
Matchup strength 0–10 · not a probability
ELO1 696
Hard ELO1 628
Last 106–4
Age33
Height178 cm
PlaysRight
EarningsCareer $570K2026 $271K
ELO1 735
Hard ELO1 683
Last 105–5
Age26
Height188 cm
PlaysLeft
EarningsCareer $307K2026 $170K

Common opponents

1 shared · last 12 months

Echargui M. and Glinka D. faced 1 of the same opponent in the last 12 months. Echargui M. went 0–1 (0%) against them, Glinka D. 0–1 (0%).

0–10%Echargui M. · better vs 0Record vs common opponents0–10%Glinka D. · better vs 0
Vs common opponents · derived from scorelines
0–2Sets0–2
8–12Games3–12

Only 1 common opponent — too few for any conclusion. Shown without assessment.

Head-to-head

1 meeting · Echargui M. leads 1–0
10

Season statistics

Form · Rating · Serve vs return · Clutch
ShowHide
Echargui M.Glinka D.
FormLast 10 matches each · 2026
Win–loss6–4 (ahead)5–5
Season win rate37% (19–33)53% (31–28) (ahead)
RatingUmpiry ELO
Overall ELO16961735 (ahead)
Hard-court ELO16281683 (ahead)
Serve vs returnLast 22 vs 30 matches
1st-serve points won68%71% (ahead)
Return points won35%38% (ahead)
Aces / match4.35.3 (ahead)
ClutchLast 22 vs 30 matches
Break points saved62% (ahead)60%

Draw

Conditions

PISTA 2 · 11:00 local
SurfaceHard · medium-fast
Weather18°C · Clear
Wind7 km/h
Humidity64%

Court pace medium-fast: rewards aggression.

Match info

  • Started11:00 local

Freshness

Last 7 & 14 days
Echargui M.Glinka D.
3 — fresherDays since last match2
2Matches · 7 days1 — fresher
41Games · 7 days27 — fresher
3Matches · 14 days3
59 — fresherGames · 14 days72
Green marks the fresher player.

Cite this

Umpiry, "Moez Echargui vs Daniil Glinka — Villena Round of 16", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-10-08/echargui-vs-glinka-villena-r16?utm_source=cite (as of 8 October 2026).