Felipe De Dios vs Juan Sebastian Gomez

UMPIRY

M15 QuitoR16ClayThu 8 Oct · 11:05

Felipe De DiosARG47%

VSToss-up

Juan Sebastian Gomez(2)ATP #608 · COL53%

Win probabilityWho is more likely to winToss-up

47%53%

No meaningful edge. Serve performance in the first set is the likeliest tiebreaker.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability

De Dios F.5.5/10

Slight disadvantageBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6

Gomez J.5.2/10

Clear underdogBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6

Why

Surface form5 of last 10 on clayInformative

Head-to-headLeads 1–0 on claySupports Gomez J.

Recent runLost last 3Both players

This eventDidn't play here last yearBoth players

ELO1 546

Clay ELO1 550

Last 106–4

Age23

PlaysRight

ELO1 590

Clay ELO1 576

Last 102–8

Age34

PlaysRight

Felipe De Dios faces Juan Sebastian Gomez in the M15 Quito round of 16 on clay. Juan Sebastian Gomez is the paper favourite — leading the head-to-head 1–0 — but Felipe De Dios arrives in form, winning 5 of their last 8 on clay to Juan Sebastian Gomez's 2 of 8.

Key context

Surface form: Felipe De Dios 5 of 8, Juan Sebastian Gomez 2 of 8 on clay recently — Felipe De Dios the sharper of late.
Head-to-head: Juan Sebastian Gomez leads the head-to-head 1–0. Last met at Santa Fe CH 2024.
Fatigue load: Both played one three-setter in the past fortnight — neither arrives fresh.

Common opponents

0 shared · last 12 months

No common opponents in the last 12 months. Surface form and ELO carry more weight here.

Head-to-head

1 meeting · Gomez J. leads 1–0

Gomez J.June 2024Santa Fe CHClay6-2 2-6 6-2

Evidence

De Dios F.Gomez J.

FormLast 10 matches each · 2026

Win–loss6–42–8

Season win rate47% (8–9)22% (2–7)

RatingUmpiry ELO

Overall ELO15461590

Clay-court ELO15501576

Serve vs returnLast 3 matches each

1st-serve points won63%61%

Return points won46%37%

Aces / match2.32.3

ClutchLast 3 matches each

Break points saved46%36%

Draw

Odds

Conditions

11:05 local

SurfaceClay

Forecast19°C · Drizzle

Wind10 km/h

Humidity47%

Cite this

Umpiry, "Felipe De Dios vs Juan Sebastian Gomez — M15 Quito Round of 16", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-10-08/dios-vs-gomez-m15-quito-r16?utm_source=cite (as of 8 October 2026).