Adrien Burdet vs Sergio Callejon Hernando

UMPIRY

M15 PontevedraR16HardThu 8 Oct · 11:35

Adrien BurdetSUI22%

VSClear favourite · Callejon Hernando S.

Sergio Callejon Hernando(2)ATP #522 · ESP78%

Win probabilityWho is more likely to winClear favourite · Callejon Hernando S.

22%78%

Clear edge for Callejon Hernando S. across form, surface and matchup. Upsets at this level happen in about 1 in 5 such matches.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability

Burdet A.4.6/10

Heavy underdogBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6

Callejon Hernando S.4.1/10

Heavy underdogBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6

Why

Surface form4 of last 10 on hardInformative

Recent runLost last 3Both players

Head-to-headNo prior meetingsBoth players

This eventDidn't play here last yearBoth players

ELO1 545

Hard ELO1 526

Last 105–5

Age24

ELO1 640

Hard ELO1 609

Last 104–6

Age22

Adrien Burdet faces Sergio Callejon Hernando in the M15 Pontevedra round of 16 on hard. Adrien Burdet brings the better recent hard form (2 of 4).

Key context

Last match: Adrien Burdet dropped the opening set before beating Hugo Car 4–6 6–3 6–2.
Last match: Sergio Callejon Hernando dropped just 4 games past Noah Thurner.
Surface form: Adrien Burdet 2 of 4, Sergio Callejon Hernando 1 of 4 on hard recently — Adrien Burdet the sharper of late.

Common opponents

0 shared · last 12 months

No common opponents in the last 12 months. Surface form and ELO carry more weight here.

Head-to-head

They have not met before.

Evidence

Burdet A.Callejon Hernando S.

FormLast 10 matches each · 2026

Win–loss5–54–6

Season win rate58% (11–8)53% (18–16)

RatingUmpiry ELO

Overall ELO15451640

Hard-court ELO15261609

Serve vs returnLast 7 vs 15 matches

1st-serve points won63%63%

Return points won40%47%

Aces / match1.70.7

ClutchLast 7 vs 15 matches

Break points saved58%56%

Draw

Odds

Conditions

11:35 local

SurfaceHard

Forecast17°C · Clear

Wind17 km/h

Humidity60%

Cite this

Umpiry, "Adrien Burdet vs Sergio Callejon Hernando — M15 Pontevedra Round of 16", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-10-08/burdet-vs-hernando-m15-pontevedra-r16?utm_source=cite (as of 8 October 2026).