UMPIRY

Aleksandr Braynin vs J. Penzlin — M15 Rodez Round of 16

M15 RodezR16HardThu 8 Oct · 12:35
Aleksandr Braynin(7)ATP #762 · UKR51%
VSToss-up
J. PenzlinGER49%
Win probabilityWho is more likely to winToss-up
51%49%

No meaningful edge. Serve performance in the first set is the likeliest tiebreaker.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability
Braynin A.4.0/10
Heavy underdogBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6
Penzlin J.5.0/10
Heavy underdogBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6
Why
Surface form3 of last 10 on hardInformative
Recent runLost last 4Informative
Head-to-headNo prior meetingsBoth players
This eventDidn't play here last yearBoth players
ELO1 541
Hard ELO1 541
Last 103–7
Age27
ELO1 553
Hard ELO1 528
Last 106–4
Age24

Common opponents

0 shared · last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months. Surface form and ELO carry more weight here.

Head-to-head

They have not met before.

Evidence

Braynin A.Penzlin J.
FormLast 10 matches each · 2026
Win–loss3–76–4 (ahead)
Season win rate38% (10–16)71% (15–6) (ahead)
RatingUmpiry ELO
Overall ELO15411553 (ahead)
Hard-court ELO1541 (ahead)1528
Serve vs returnLast 12 vs 5 matches
1st-serve points won72%73% (ahead)
Return points won37%43% (ahead)
Aces / match6.3 (ahead)4.2
ClutchLast 12 vs 5 matches
Break points saved61%61%

Draw

Odds

Conditions

12:35 local
SurfaceHard
Forecast11°C · Overcast
Wind21 km/h
Humidity81%

Cite this

Umpiry, "Aleksandr Braynin vs J. Penzlin — M15 Rodez Round of 16", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-10-08/braynin-vs-penzlin-m15-rodez-r16?utm_source=cite (as of 8 October 2026).