Manuel Mouilleron Salvo vs Nicolas Esteban Rico Arias — M15 Quito Round of 16

M15 QuitoR16ClayThu 8 Oct · 09:35
VSSlight edge · Mouilleron Salvo M.
Win probabilityWho is more likely to winSlight edge · Mouilleron Salvo M.
66%34%

Mouilleron Salvo M. favoured, but within the range where form on the day decides.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability
Mouilleron Salvo M.4.5/10
Heavy underdogBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6
Rico Arias N.4.6/10
Heavy underdogBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6
Why
Recent runLost last 2Both players
Head-to-headNo prior meetingsBoth players
This eventDidn't play here last yearBoth players
ELO1 506
Clay ELO1 517
Last 106–4
Age23
PlaysRight
ELO1 486
Clay ELO1 481
Last 103–7
Age25
PlaysRight

Manuel Mouilleron Salvo faces Nicolas Esteban Rico Arias in the M15 Quito round of 16 on clay. Manuel Mouilleron Salvo brings the better recent clay form (5 of 7).

Key context

Common opponents

0 shared · last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months. Surface form and ELO carry more weight here.

Head-to-head

They have not met before.

Evidence

Mouilleron Salvo M.Rico Arias N.
FormLast 10 matches each · 2026
Win–loss6–4 (ahead)3–7
Season win rate56% (9–7) (ahead)25% (1–3)
RatingUmpiry ELO
Overall ELO1506 (ahead)1486
Clay-court ELO1517 (ahead)1481
Serve vs returnLast 2 matches each
1st-serve points won53%61% (ahead)
Return points won32%39% (ahead)
Aces / match0.00.0
ClutchLast 2 matches each
Break points saved25%40% (ahead)

Draw

Odds

Conditions

09:35 local
SurfaceClay
Forecast18°C · Overcast
Wind7 km/h
Humidity54%

Cite this

Umpiry, "Manuel Mouilleron Salvo vs Nicolas Esteban Rico Arias — M15 Quito Round of 16", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-10-08/arias-vs-salvo-m15-quito-r16?utm_source=cite (as of 8 October 2026).