UMPIRY

Mariam Bolkvadze vs Bianca Andreescu — Samsun Open - Samsun Round of 16

Samsun Open - SamsunR16HardThu 8 Oct · 14:30Center Court - Can Uner · After 2 matches
Mariam BolkvadzeWTA #370 · GEO27%
VSClear favourite · Andreescu B.
Bianca AndreescuWTA #172 · CAN73%
Win probabilityWho is more likely to winClear favourite · Andreescu B.
27%73%

Clear edge for Andreescu B. across form, surface and matchup. Upsets at this level happen in about 1 in 4 such matches.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability
Bolkvadze M.4.5/10
Heavy underdog
Andreescu B.6.7/10
Slight advantage
Why
Surface+220 Hard Elo edgeSupports Andreescu B.
Overall ratingOverall Elo 1701Supports Andreescu B.
Recent run3-match win streakAgainst the prediction · Bolkvadze M.
Long matches1 three-setter in 14 daysSupports Andreescu B.
Head-to-headNo prior meetingsBoth players
ELO1 748
Hard ELO1 647
Last 107–3
Age28
PlaysLeft
EarningsCareer $808K2026 $183K
ELO1 830
Hard ELO1 739
Last 105–5
Age26
PlaysRight
EarningsCareer $10.1M2026 $294K

Mariam Bolkvadze faces Bianca Andreescu in the Samsun Open - Samsun round of 16 on hard. Bianca Andreescu is the paper favourite — ranked #172, a roughly 220-point hard Elo advantage — but Mariam Bolkvadze arrives in form, winning 5 of their last 7 on hard to Bianca Andreescu's 3 of 7.

Key context

Common opponents

0 shared · last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months. Surface form and ELO carry more weight here.

Head-to-head

They have not met before.

Evidence

Bolkvadze M.Andreescu B.
FormLast 10 matches each · 2026
Win–loss7–3 (ahead)5–5
Season win rate61% (14–9) (ahead)60% (25–17)
RatingUmpiry ELO
Overall ELO17481830 (ahead)
Hard-court ELO16471739 (ahead)
Serve vs returnLast 17 vs 31 matches
1st-serve points won59%64% (ahead)
Return points won49% (ahead)43%
Aces / match0.63.4 (ahead)
ClutchLast 17 vs 31 matches
Break points saved46%52% (ahead)

When it starts

Center Court - Can Uner · After 2 matches · Not before 2:30 PM

Draw

Odds

Conditions

Center Court - Can Uner · 14:30 local
SurfaceHard
Forecast23°C · Overcast
Wind9 km/h
Humidity57%

Freshness

Last 7 & 14 days
Bolkvadze M.Andreescu B.
2 — fresherDays since last match1
2Matches · 7 days1 — fresher
42Games · 7 days12 — fresher
2Matches · 14 days1 — fresher
42Games · 14 days12 — fresher
Green marks the fresher player.

Cite this

Umpiry, "Mariam Bolkvadze vs Bianca Andreescu — Samsun Open - Samsun Round of 16", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-10-08/andreescu-vs-bolkvadze-samsun-open-samsun-r16?utm_source=cite (as of 8 October 2026).