Zhizhen Zhang vs Coleman Wong β€” Hangzhou Round of 32

Hangzhou Β· ATP Β· Round of 32
#168ATP
1682ELO
1642Hard ELO
$576kYTD
$4.6MCAREER
29 yrs Β· 193 cm Β· Right-handed
Last 10
LLWLLLWWWW
β€”
Sets
Wednesday, 23 September 2026 Β·
hard
#108ATP
1602ELO
1593Hard ELO
$400kYTD
$1.3MCAREER
22 yrs Β· 191 cm Β· Right-handed
Last 10
LWWWLWWLWW
Zhang Z.
vs
Wong C.

Zhizhen Zhang faces Coleman Wong in the Hangzhou round of 32 on hard. Coleman Wong brings the better recent hard form (3 of 4).

Win Probability

Pre-match Β· updated 09:50 UTC
Zhang Z.36%
Wong C.64%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge Β· Wong C. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model Β· 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

Common opponents

Last 12 months
1 common opponents Β· Zhang Z. 1–0 Β· Wong C. 1–0 Β· small sample
Both won Β· different surfaces (Grass Γ— Hard)β–Ύ
Includes tour-level, 125s, qualifying and team events (βš‘). Walkovers excluded. Describes past results in different contexts β€” not a prediction.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.2
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
6.0
Even matchUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
5.6+49 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.4Hard Elo 1593
6.0Overall Elo 1682
ELO gap
4.0Overall Elo 1602
3.0Trails 0–1 on hard
H2H
7.0Leads 1–0 on hard
2.53 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
6.77 of last 10 on hard
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
0.0
Context
6.0Reached the last 16 here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors β€” matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation β€” into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

28 vs 41 matches

Statistics

This season
1st serve inΒ·Even
64%
61%
1st serve points wonΒ·Even
73%
72%
2nd serve points wonΒ·Even
50%
50%
Service points wonΒ·Even
65%
63%
Return points wonΒ·Even
33%
35%
Break points savedΒ·Even
62%
65%
Aces / matchΒ·Slight edge
8.3
9.7
Double faults / matchΒ·Slight edge
1.6
2.1

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (28 vs 41). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Zhang Z.serving89% hold

wins 69% of points on serve vs Wong C.

Wong C.serving89% hold

wins 69% of points on serve vs Zhang Z.

Serve-dominated β€” both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch RatingΒ·Clear edge
46
26
Break points savedΒ·Even
89
90
Break points wonΒ·Clear edge
26
11
Deciding setsΒ·Dominant
88
11
TiebreaksΒ·Dominant
6
85

Performance in the biggest moments β€” break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather forecast
30Β°CClear
Wind 7 km/hHumidity 48%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Draw