Valentin Royer vs Adam WaltonHangzhou Round of 32

Hangzhou · ATP · Round of 32
#104ATP
1641ELO
1585Hard ELO
$789kYTD
$1.9MCAREER
25 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
LLWWWWLLWL
Sets
Wednesday, 23 September 2026 ·
hard
#99ATP
1703ELO
1669Hard ELO
$763kYTD
$2.5MCAREER
27 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
LLWLWWLWLL
Royer V.
vs
Walton A.

Valentin Royer faces Adam Walton in the Hangzhou round of 32 on hard. Adam Walton holds the paper edge — ranked #99, defending last year's round of 32, a roughly 80-point hard Elo advantage. Recent hard form is closely matched.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 09:50 UTC
Royer V.46%
Walton A.54%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

Common opponents

Last 12 months
5 common opponents · Royer V. 2–3 · Walton A. 1–4
Both lost · different surfaces (Clay × Hard)
Includes tour-level, 125s, qualifying and team events (⚑). Walkovers excluded. Describes past results in different contexts — not a prediction.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.6
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
5.7
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
4.0Hard Elo 1585
Surface ELO
6.0+84 Hard Elo edge
4.2Overall Elo 1641
ELO gap
5.8Overall Elo 1703
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
4.95 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
3.94 of last 10 on hard
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Context
Defending pts
6.0Reached the R32 here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

33 vs 39 matches

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
62%
65%
1st serve points won·Even
68%
70%
2nd serve points won·Even
50%
54%
Service points won·Even
61%
64%
Return points won·Even
35%
35%
Break points saved·Even
63%
63%
Aces / match·Slight edge
5.5
6.7
Double faults / match·Clear edge
2.1
1.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (33 vs 39). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Royer V.serving83% hold

wins 65% of points on serve vs Walton A.

Walton A.serving88% hold

wins 68% of points on serve vs Royer V.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
59
38
Break points saved·Even
94
92
Break points won·Clear edge
30
7
Deciding sets·Slight edge
76
83
Tiebreaks·Dominant
62
1

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather forecast
27°CPartly cloudy
Wind 12 km/hHumidity 62%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Draw