Dalibor Svrcina vs Rio Noguchi — Hangzhou Qualifying Round of 8
JPN
Svrcina D.
Dalibor Svrcina faces Rio Noguchi in the Hangzhou qualifying round of 8 on hard. Dalibor Svrcina holds the paper edge — ranked #128, defending last year's quarter-final, a roughly 110-point hard Elo advantage. Recent hard form is closely matched.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 12:50 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Slight edge · Svrcina D. narrowly ahead
Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Key context
- Freshness: Dalibor Svrcina comes in with 19 days of rest and 0 games in 14d, vs Rio Noguchi's 4 and 84.
- Last match: Dalibor Svrcina dropped just 5 games past Philip Sekulic.
- Last match: Rio Noguchi dropped just 5 games past Masamichi Imamura.
Common opponents
Last 12 monthsUmpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (24 vs 28). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Serve vs return
This seasonEach player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Clutch
Under pressurePerformance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About
Freshness
Recent loadSvrcina D.: 19 days rest · Noguchi R.: 4 days rest · 2 matches, 38 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About
Conditions
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.