Aleksandar Vukic vs Kyrian JacquetHangzhou Round of 32

Hangzhou · ATP · Round of 32
#91ATP
1630ELO
1597Hard ELO
$576kYTD
$4.1MCAREER
30 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
LLWLWLWLWW
Sets
Wednesday, 23 September 2026 ·
hard
#107ATP
1685ELO
1663Hard ELO
$503kYTD
$1.3MCAREER
25 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
LWLLWWLWLW
Vukic A.
vs
Jacquet K.

Aleksandar Vukic faces Kyrian Jacquet in the Hangzhou round of 32 on hard. Aleksandar Vukic is the paper favourite — ranked #91, defending last year's round of 16 — but Kyrian Jacquet arrives in form, winning 4 of their last 8 on hard to Aleksandar Vukic's 3.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 09:50 UTC
Vukic A.36%
Jacquet K.64%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Jacquet K. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

Common opponents

Last 12 months
2 common opponents · Vukic A. 2–0 · Jacquet K. 1–1 · small sample
Both won · same surface
Includes tour-level, 125s, qualifying and team events (⚑). Walkovers excluded. Describes past results in different contexts — not a prediction.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.5
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
5.6
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
4.2Hard Elo 1597
Surface ELO
5.8+66 Hard Elo edge
4.3Overall Elo 1630
ELO gap
5.7Overall Elo 1685
7.0Leads 1–0 on hard
H2H
3.0Trails 0–1 on hard
4.35 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
4.04 of last 10 on hard
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
0.0
Context
6.0Reached the last 16 here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

23 vs 29 matches

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
57%
58%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
67%
72%
2nd serve points won·Even
52%
52%
Service points won·Even
61%
64%
Return points won·Slight edge
34%
40%
Break points saved·Even
55%
58%
Aces / match·Even
5.7
5.7
Double faults / match·Clear edge
2.0
3.1

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (23 vs 29). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Vukic A.serving75% hold

wins 60% of points on serve vs Jacquet K.

Jacquet K.serving89% hold

wins 69% of points on serve vs Vukic A.

Serve advantage — Jacquet K.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
26
47
Break points saved·Even
90
87
Break points won·Clear edge
7
27
Deciding sets·Dominant
12
40
Tiebreaks·Even
90
91

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather forecast
31°CPartly cloudy
Wind 15 km/hHumidity 44%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Draw