Sho Shimabukuro vs Hugo Gaston — Hangzhou Round of 32
FRA
Shimabukuro S.
Sho Shimabukuro faces Hugo Gaston in the Hangzhou round of 32 on hard. Hugo Gaston holds the paper edge — leading the head-to-head 1–0, a roughly 20-point hard Elo advantage.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 09:50 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Toss-up · Too close to call
Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Key context
- Serve & return: Serve-return mismatch: Sho Shimabukuro grades 62 on serve, Hugo Gaston 70 on return.
- Under pressure: Hugo Gaston has the edge on pressure points (Clutch Rating 59 vs Sho Shimabukuro's 0).
- Surface form: Sho Shimabukuro 2 of 8, Hugo Gaston 5 of 8 on hard recently — Hugo Gaston the sharper of late.
Common opponents
Last 12 monthsUmpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (36 vs 35). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Serve vs return
This seasonEach player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Clutch
Under pressurePerformance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About
Conditions
Head to head
0–1| Date | Tournament | Round | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023-08-28 | US Open | R128 | hard | Hugo Gaston | 6-2 6-1 7-6 |