Alycia Parks vs Leylah FernandezSingapore Round of 16

Singapore · WTA · Round of 16
#70WTA
1648ELO
1639Hard ELO
$845kYTD
$3.4MCAREER
25 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
WLWLLWWLLW
Sets
Wednesday, 23 September 2026 ·
hard
#31WTA
1805ELO
1785Hard ELO
$1.4MYTD
$8.8MCAREER
24 yrs · 168 cm · Left-handed
Last 10
WLLWWLLWWL
Parks A.
vs
Fernandez L.

Alycia Parks faces Leylah Fernandez in the Singapore round of 16 on hard. They have met 3 times, Alycia Parks leading 2–1. Recent hard form is closely matched.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 12:50 UTC
Parks A.30%
Fernandez L.70%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Fernandez L. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

Common opponents

Last 12 months
9 common opponents · Parks A. 3–9 · Fernandez L. 8–6
Both lost · same surface
Includes tour-level, 125s, qualifying and team events (⚑). Walkovers excluded. Describes past results in different contexts — not a prediction.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
4.9
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
6.8
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
3.2Hard Elo 1639
Surface ELO
6.8+146 Hard Elo edge
3.0Overall Elo 1648
ELO gap
7.0Overall Elo 1805
4.8Split 1–1 on hard
H2H
5.2Split 1–1 on hard
5.15 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
5.15 of last 10 on hard
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
Context
6.0Reached the R32 here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

44 vs 32 matches

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
56%
62%
1st serve points won·Even
69%
65%
2nd serve points won·Even
43%
47%
Service points won·Even
58%
58%
Return points won·Even
41%
40%
Break points saved·Slight edge
57%
64%
Aces / match·Dominant
6.1
2.7
Double faults / match·Clear edge
5.9
5.1

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (44 vs 32). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Parks A.serving80% hold

wins 63% of points on serve vs Fernandez L.

Fernandez L.serving78% hold

wins 62% of points on serve vs Parks A.

Even serve battle

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
0
79
Break points saved·Dominant
12
77
Break points won·Dominant
23
90
Deciding sets·Dominant
9
84
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
50
69

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
90
89

Parks A.: 7 days rest · 1 match, 19 games (7d) · Fernandez L.: 1 day rest · 1 match, 17 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Weather forecast
27°CMainly clear
Wind 4 km/hHumidity 88%

Head to head

21
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-05-25Roland GarrosR128clayAlycia Parks6-4 6-4
2025-03-18MiamiR64hardLeylah Fernandez7-6 6-3
2024-01-15Australian OpenR64hardAlycia Parks7-5 6-4

Draw