Jie Cui vs Adolfo Daniel VallejoHangzhou Round of 32

Hangzhou · ATP · Round of 32
Jie Cui
CHNWC
#456ATP
1383ELO
1354Hard ELO
$25kYTD
$237kCAREER
28 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
LWLLWWLWLL
Sets
Wednesday, 23 September 2026 ·
hard
#58ATP
1740ELO
1520Hard ELO
$668kYTD
$923kCAREER
22 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
LLWLWWLLLW
Cui J.
vs
Vallejo A.

Jie Cui faces Adolfo Daniel Vallejo in the Hangzhou round of 32 on hard. Adolfo Daniel Vallejo holds the paper edge — ranked #58, a roughly 170-point hard Elo advantage. Recent hard form is closely matched.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 09:50 UTC
Cui J.35%
Vallejo A.65%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Vallejo A. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

  • Freshness: Jie Cui comes in with 12 days of rest and 45 games in 14d, vs Adolfo Daniel Vallejo's 20 and 0.
  • Under pressure: In the tight moments, Adolfo Daniel Vallejo has rated higher under pressure (Clutch Rating 53 vs 0).
  • Surface form: Both 3 of 7 on hard recently — court-specific quality nearly identical despite the ranking gap.

Common opponents

Last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months.
Includes tour-level, 125s, qualifying and team events (⚑). Walkovers excluded. Describes past results in different contexts — not a prediction.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
4.9
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
6.6
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
2.9Hard Elo 1354
Surface ELO
7.1+166 Hard Elo edge
0.5Overall Elo 1383
ELO gap
9.5Overall Elo 1740
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
4.04 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
4.45 of last 10 on hard
0.0
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

12 vs 42 matches

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
63%
62%
1st serve points won·Even
68%
69%
2nd serve points won·Even
51%
51%
Service points won·Even
62%
63%
Return points won·Slight edge
36%
43%
Break points saved·Even
59%
56%
Aces / match·Even
3.9
3.5
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.3
2.7

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (12 vs 42). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Cui J.serving70% hold

wins 59% of points on serve vs Vallejo A.

Vallejo A.serving84% hold

wins 66% of points on serve vs Cui J.

Serve advantage — Vallejo A.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
0
53
Break points saved·Dominant
31
71
Break points won·Dominant
11
65
Deciding sets·Dominant
16
85
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
10
0

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
96
100

Cui J.: 12 days rest · 2 matches (14d) · Vallejo A.: 20 days rest. Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather forecast
30°CClear
Wind 7 km/hHumidity 48%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Draw