Luka Mikrut vs Kimmer CoppejansGenoa 2 Round of 16

Genoa 2 · CHALLENGER · Round of 16
#214ATP
1597ELO
1619Clay ELO
$106kYTD
$279kCAREER
22 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
WLWWWLWLWW
Sets
Wednesday, 23 September 2026 ·
clay
#227ATP
1544ELO
1513Clay ELO
$198kYTD
$1.6MCAREER
32 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
WLLLLWLLWW
Mikrut L.
vs
Coppejans K.

Luka Mikrut faces Kimmer Coppejans in the Genoa 2 round of 16 on clay. Luka Mikrut holds the paper edge — ranked #214, a roughly 110-point clay Elo advantage.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 12:50 UTC
Mikrut L.58%
Coppejans K.42%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Mikrut L. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

Common opponents

Last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months.
Includes tour-level, 125s, qualifying and team events (⚑). Walkovers excluded. Describes past results in different contexts — not a prediction.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.0
Even matchUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
4.3
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
6.3+105 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.7Clay Elo 1513
5.7Overall Elo 1597
ELO gap
4.3Overall Elo 1544
7.0Leads 1–0 on clay
H2H
3.0Trails 0–1 on clay
8.69 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
4.85 of last 10 on clay
Fatigue & Travel
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
3-set count
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

12 vs 36 matches

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
61%
64%
1st serve points won·Even
72%
68%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
53%
47%
Service points won·Even
65%
61%
Return points won·Slight edge
36%
42%
Break points saved·Even
67%
63%
Aces / match·Clear edge
6.6
4.0
Double faults / match·Clear edge
1.8
2.9

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (12 vs 36). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Mikrut L.serving72% hold

wins 59% of points on serve vs Coppejans K.

Coppejans K.serving76% hold

wins 61% of points on serve vs Mikrut L.

Serve advantage — Coppejans K.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
54
10
Break points saved·Dominant
77
38
Break points won·Clear edge
29
16
Deciding sets·Dominant
81
34
Tiebreaks·Even
59
59

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Dominant
70
97

Mikrut L.: 3 days rest · 4 matches, 86 games (7d) · Coppejans K.: 14 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Weather forecast
16°CClear
Wind 1 km/hHumidity 90%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Draw