Nuno Borges vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli — Chengdu Round of 32
POR6
Borges N.
Nuno Borges faces Camilo Ugo Carabelli in the Chengdu round of 32 on hard. Nuno Borges holds the paper edge — ranked #48, a roughly 70-point hard Elo advantage.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 09:50 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Clear favourite · Borges N. clearly ahead, but no certainty
Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Key context
- Serve & return: Nuno Borges leads on Serve Rating (39), Camilo Ugo Carabelli on Return Rating (40).
- Surface form: Nuno Borges 3 of 5, Camilo Ugo Carabelli 1 of 5 on hard recently — Nuno Borges the sharper of late.
Common opponents
Last 12 monthsUmpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (40 vs 35). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Serve vs return
This seasonEach player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Clutch
Under pressurePerformance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About
Conditions
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.