Alex Bolt vs Akira Santillan — Hangzhou Qualifying Round of 8
AUS
Bolt A.Alex Bolt faces Akira Santillan in the Hangzhou qualifying round of 8 on hard. Alex Bolt holds the paper edge — ranked #165, a roughly 200-point hard Elo advantage. Recent hard form is closely matched.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 12:50 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Toss-up · Too close to call
Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Key context
- Under pressure: In the tight moments, Alex Bolt has rated higher under pressure (Clutch Rating 30 vs 0).
- Surface form: Both 2 of 5 on hard recently — court-specific quality nearly identical despite the ranking gap.
Common opponents
Last 12 monthsUmpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (30 vs 7). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Serve vs return
This seasonEach player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Clutch
Under pressurePerformance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About
Freshness
Recent loadSantillan A.: 6 days rest · 1 match, 23 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About
Conditions
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.