Sebastian Baez vs Jenson Brooksby — Chengdu Round of 32
ARG8
Baez S.
Sebastian Baez faces Jenson Brooksby in the Chengdu round of 32 on hard. Sebastian Baez holds the paper edge — ranked #51, leading the head-to-head 1–0, a roughly 30-point hard Elo advantage. Recent hard form is closely matched.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 09:50 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Slight edge · Brooksby J. narrowly ahead
Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Key context
- Serve & return: Jenson Brooksby leads on Serve Rating (15), Sebastian Baez on Return Rating (62).
- Head-to-head: Sebastian Baez leads the head-to-head 1–0. Last met at Auckland 2026.
- Surface form: Sebastian Baez 5 of 9, Jenson Brooksby 4 of 9 on hard recently — Sebastian Baez the sharper of late.
Common opponents
Last 12 monthsUmpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (36 vs 21). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Serve vs return
This seasonEach player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Clutch
Under pressurePerformance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About
Conditions
Head to head
1–0| Date | Tournament | Round | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-12 | Auckland | R16 | hard | Sebastian Baez | 7-5 6-0 |