Abedallah Shelbayh vs Andres AndradeSan Diego 2 Round of 32

San Diego 2 · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
#250ATP
1442ELO
1448Hard ELO
$53kYTD
$728kCAREER
22 yrs · 180 cm · Left-handed
Last 10
LWWLWWLLLW
Sets
Wednesday, 23 September 2026 ·
hard
#206ATP
1505ELO
1427Hard ELO
27 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
LLWWWWLWLW
Shelbayh A.
vs
Andrade A.

Abedallah Shelbayh faces Andres Andrade in the San Diego 2 round of 32 on hard. Andres Andrade holds the paper edge — ranked #206, leading the head-to-head 1–0. Recent hard form is closely matched.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 09:50 UTC
Shelbayh A.58%
Andrade A.42%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Shelbayh A. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

Common opponents

Last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months.
Includes tour-level, 125s, qualifying and team events (⚑). Walkovers excluded. Describes past results in different contexts — not a prediction.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.2
Even matchUmpiry Score
6.1
Even matchUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
5.3+21 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.7Hard Elo 1427
4.2Overall Elo 1442
ELO gap
5.8Overall Elo 1505
7.0Leads 1–0 on hard
H2H
3.0Trails 0–1 on hard
5.15 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
5.66 of last 10 on hard
0.0
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Country comfort
6.2Won 70% in USA (74)
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

29 vs 33 matches

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
59%
61%
1st serve points won·Even
65%
67%
2nd serve points won·Even
48%
47%
Service points won·Even
58%
59%
Return points won·Even
41%
42%
Break points saved·Even
56%
59%
Aces / match·Even
2.2
2.5
Double faults / match·Slight edge
3.0
3.7

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (29 vs 33). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Shelbayh A.serving64% hold

wins 56% of points on serve vs Andrade A.

Andrade A.serving69% hold

wins 58% of points on serve vs Shelbayh A.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
36
44
Break points saved·Clear edge
74
53
Break points won·Clear edge
31
50
Deciding sets·Slight edge
54
45
Tiebreaks·Dominant
22
91

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
81
85

Shelbayh A.: 4 days rest · 2 matches, 40 games (7d) · Andrade A.: 3 days rest · 1 match, 27 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Weather forecast
28°CDrizzle
Wind 7 km/hHumidity 77%

Head to head

01
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2021-10-27M15 Tallahassee 1R32hardAndres Andrade6-1 6-2

Draw