Elsa Wan vs Mariya ZharkikhW15 Maanshan Qualifying Round of 16

W15 Maanshan · ITF · Qualifying Round of 16
#1472WTA
$2kYTD
$5kCAREER
22 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
WLLLWLWLLL
0 — 2
Sets
Tuesday, 22 September 2026 ·
hard
19 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
WL
Wan E.
4-6 1-6
Zharkikh M.
Wan E.
410
Zharkikh M.
662

Mariya Zharkikh defeated Elsa Wan 6-4, 6-1 in the qualifying round 1 of the W15 Maanshan tournament. Zharkikh hit 3 aces and 1 double fault, while converting 60% of her break points and winning 4 service breaks. Wan had 1 double fault, converted 50% of her break points, and won 3 service breaks.

Generated automatically from Umpiry match data.

Momentum · Final
Wan E.2/8
Zharkikh M.6/9

hold to 0/15to 30to 40 / deucebroken

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
63%
53%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
61%
55%
2nd serve points won·Even
37%
35%
Service points won·Slight edge
52%
45%
Return points won·Even
45%
43%
Break points saved·Slight edge
50%
40%
Aces / match·Slight edge
1.0
0.0
Double faults / match·Slight edge
4.4
5.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (8 vs 1). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 00:50 UTC
Wan E.41%
Zharkikh M.59%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Zharkikh M. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
4.1
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
5.5
Slight disadvantageUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
Form & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
3.54 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
0.0
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Conditions

Weather
24°COvercast
Wind 8 km/hHumidity 79%

Draw