Evan Zhu vs Henry SearleSan Diego 2 Round of 32

San Diego 2 · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
#513ATP
$22kYTD
$184kCAREER
28 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
WWLWWLWWLW
Sets
Tuesday, 22 September 2026 ·
hard
#230ATP
1540ELO
1419Hard ELO
$92kYTD
$383kCAREER
20 yrs · 193 cm · Left-handed
Last 10
LLLLWWWWWL
Zhu E.
vs
Searle H.

Evan Zhu faces Henry Searle in the San Diego 2 round of 32 on hard. Henry Searle is the paper favourite — ranked #230 — but Evan Zhu arrives in form, winning 3 of their last 4 on hard to Henry Searle's 0.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 10:50 UTC
Zhu E.25%
Searle H.75%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Searle H. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

Common opponents

Last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months.
Includes tour-level, 125s, qualifying and team events (⚑). Walkovers excluded. Describes past results in different contexts — not a prediction.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.4
Clear underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
5.7
Slight disadvantageUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
Form & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
7.27 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
3.04 of last 10 on hard
Win streak
0.0Lost last 4
Fatigue & Travel
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
3-set count
5.3Won 55% in USA (96)
Country comfort
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

10 vs 8 matches

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
57%
58%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
68%
76%
2nd serve points won·Even
55%
52%
Service points won·Even
63%
66%
Return points won·Even
37%
39%
Break points saved·Even
57%
53%
Aces / match·Clear edge
3.6
5.5
Double faults / match·Dominant
3.8
1.9

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (10 vs 8). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Zhu E.serving80% hold

wins 63% of points on serve vs Searle H.

Searle H.serving86% hold

wins 67% of points on serve vs Zhu E.

Serve advantage — Searle H.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Dominant
65
96

Zhu E.: 1 day rest · 3 matches, 66 games (7d) · Searle H.: 7 days rest · 1 match, 17 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Weather forecast
26°CDrizzle
Wind 8 km/hHumidity 86%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Draw