Alina Shcherbinina vs Berta Passola

W50 Berkeley · ITF · Qualifying Round of 16

RUS

Alina Shcherbinina

#576WTA

23 yrs

Last 10

WLLWWLLWLW

—

Sets

Tuesday, 22 September 2026 · 10:05

hard

ESP

Berta Passola

#789WTA

$6kYTD

$12kCAREER

21 yrs

Last 10

WLWLWWWWWW

Shcherbinina A.

Passola B.

Alina Shcherbinina faces Berta Passola in the W50 Berkeley qualifying round of 16 on hard. Alina Shcherbinina is the paper favourite — ranked #576 — but Berta Passola rides a 5-match win streak.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 10:50 UTC

Shcherbinina A.14%

Passola B.86%

Toss-up
50–58%

Slight edge
58–67%

Clear favourite
67–80%

Strong favourite
80%+

Strong favourite · Passola B. heavily favoured

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

Last match: Alina Shcherbinina dropped just 4 games past Krisha Mahendran.
Win streak: Berta Passola arrives on a 5-match winning run.

Common opponents

Last 12 months

No common opponents in the last 12 months.

Includes tour-level, 125s, qualifying and team events (⚑). Walkovers excluded. Describes past results in different contexts — not a prediction.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match

Shcherbinina A.

4.5

Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited

Back-to-back day (−0.5)

Passola B.

5.3

Clear underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited

Back-to-back day (−0.5)

Form & Matchup

5.0No prior meetings

H2H

5.0No prior meetings

Surface form

8.16 of last 8 on hard

0.0Lost last 2

Win streak

9.05-match win streak

Fatigue & Travel

5.0Won 50% in USA (44)

Country comfort

Context

5.0Didn't play here last year

Defending pts

5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

1 vs 11 matches

Statistics

This season

Shcherbinina A.Passola B.

1st serve in·Even

62%

66%

1st serve points won·Clear edge

44%

68%

2nd serve points won·Even

47%

44%

Service points won·Clear edge

46%

60%

Return points won·Even

55%

Break points saved·Slight edge

58%

63%

Aces / match·Slight edge

0.0

1.0

Double faults / match·Dominant

10.0

4.4

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (1 vs 11). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season

Shcherbinina A.serving33% hold

wins 43% of points on serve vs Passola B.

Passola B.serving63% hold

wins 55% of points on serve vs Shcherbinina A.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. Small sample — read as indicative. About

Conditions

Weather forecast

14°CFog

Wind 11 km/hHumidity 98%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Alina Shcherbinina vs Berta Passola — W50 Berkeley Qualifying Round of 16