Jelena Ostapenko vs Anastasia ZakharovaKorea Open - Seoul Round of 32

Korea Open - Seoul · WTA · Round of 32
#32WTA
1855ELO
1794Hard ELO
$1.8MYTD
$20MCAREER
29 yrs · 177 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLWWLWWW
2 — 0
Sets
Tuesday, 22 September 2026 ·
hard
Center Court · 3rd on
#109WTA
1742ELO
1714Hard ELO
$727kYTD
$1.9MCAREER
24 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLLWWWWL
Ostapenko J.
6-4 6-1
Zakharova A.
Ostapenko J.
662
Zakharova A.
410

Jelena Ostapenko defeated Anastasia Zakharova in the Round of 32 at the Korea Open in Seoul, advancing with a 6-4, 6-1 victory on hard courts. Ostapenko hit 3 aces and 5 double faults, while converting 67 percent of her break points and securing 2 service breaks. Zakharova recorded 1 ace and 2 double faults, converting 17 percent of her break points and securing 1 service break.

Generated automatically from Umpiry match data.

Momentum · Final
Ostapenko J.6/8
Zakharova A.3/9

hold to 0/15to 30to 40 / deucebroken

Key context

Head to head

10
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-02-08DohaR64hardJelena Ostapenko6-7 6-3 6-4

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Clear edge
58%
70%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
66%
60%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
42%
47%
Service points won·Even
56%
56%
Return points won·Even
45%
44%
Break points saved·Even
53%
52%
Aces / match·Dominant
3.7
0.7
Double faults / match·Dominant
5.6
3.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (33 vs 46). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
68
55
Break points saved·Clear edge
25
47
Break points won·Clear edge
100
87
Deciding sets·Dominant
94
67
Tiebreaks·Even
80
84

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 06:50 UTC
Ostapenko J.58%
Zakharova A.42%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.0
Even matchUmpiry Score
5.4
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
6.0+81 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.0Hard Elo 1714
6.4Overall Elo 1855
ELO gap
3.6Overall Elo 1742
7.0Leads 1–0 on hard
H2H
3.0Trails 0–1 on hard
3.44 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
4.25 of last 10 on hard
0.0Lost last 4
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
100
100

Ostapenko J.: 21 days rest · Zakharova A.: 21 days rest. Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Weather
27°CClear
Wind 3 km/hHumidity 47%

Draw