Carlos Taberner vs Petr Nesterov β€” Plovdiv 4 Round of 32

Plovdiv 4 Β· CHALLENGER Β· Round of 32
#425ATP
1610ELO
1605Clay ELO
$110kYTD
$1.6MCAREER
29 yrs Β· 183 cm Β· Right-handed
Last 10 Β· pre-match
LLLLWWLWWL
2 β€” 1
Sets
Tuesday, 22 September 2026 Β·
clay
#300ATP
1456ELO
1410Clay ELO
$33kYTD
$119kCAREER
23 yrs Β· Right-handed
Last 10 Β· pre-match
LLLLWWWWWW
Taberner C.
6-4 1-6 6-0
Nesterov P.
Taberner C.
6162
Nesterov P.
4601

Carlos Taberner defeated Petr Nesterov in the Round of 32 of the Plovdiv 4 tournament on clay, winning 6-4, 1-6, 6-0. Taberner and Nesterov each hit one ace, with Taberner committing one double fault and Nesterov three. Taberner converted 40% of break points, while Nesterov converted all of his, but Taberner won two service breaks to Nesterov's three.

Generated automatically from Umpiry match data.

Momentum Β· Final
Taberner C.7/12
Nesterov P.6/12

hold to 0/15to 30to 40 / deucebroken

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve inΒ·Even
61%
65%
1st serve points wonΒ·Even
61%
65%
2nd serve points wonΒ·Clear edge
36%
53%
Service points wonΒ·Slight edge
51%
61%
Return points wonΒ·Clear edge
25%
40%
Break points savedΒ·Clear edge
38%
53%
Aces / matchΒ·Dominant
1.0
4.8
Double faults / matchΒ·Dominant
7.5
1.1

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (2 vs 16). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match Β· updated 06:50 UTC
Taberner C.48%
Nesterov P.52%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up Β· Too close to call

Calibrated model Β· 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.3
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
5.3
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
7.4+195 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
2.6Clay Elo 1410
6.9Overall Elo 1610
ELO gap
3.1Overall Elo 1456
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
3.74 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
4.55 of last 10 on clay
0.0Lost last 4
Win streak
0.0Lost last 3
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors β€” matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation β€” into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
FreshnessΒ·Clear edge
88
100

Taberner C.: 7 days rest Β· 1 match, 35 games (7d) Β· Nesterov P.: 21 days rest. Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Weather
17Β°CPartly cloudy
Wind 17 km/hHumidity 40%

Draw