Mika Petkovic vs Thiago Monteiro | Genoa 2 Round of 32

Genoa 2 · CHALLENGER · Round of 32

GER

Mika Petkovic

#458ATP

$29kYTD

$53kCAREER

19 yrs

Last 10

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—

Sets

Tuesday, 22 September 2026 · 05:30

clay

BRA

Thiago Monteiro

#225ATP

1568ELO

1554Clay ELO

$67kYTD

$4.5MCAREER

32 yrs · 183 cm · Left-handed

Last 10

LWWWWLWLWW

Petkovic M.

Monteiro T.

Mika Petkovic faces Thiago Monteiro in the Genoa 2 round of 32 on clay. Thiago Monteiro holds the paper edge — ranked #225.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 09:50 UTC

Petkovic M.40%

Monteiro T.60%

Toss-up
50–58%

Slight edge
58–67%

Clear favourite
67–80%

Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Monteiro T. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

Freshness: Workload contrast: Mika Petkovic 45 games in 14 days, Thiago Monteiro 190.
Surface form: Mika Petkovic 4 of 10, Thiago Monteiro 7 of 10 on clay recently — Thiago Monteiro the sharper of late.

Common opponents

Last 12 months

No common opponents in the last 12 months.

Includes tour-level, 125s, qualifying and team events (⚑). Walkovers excluded. Describes past results in different contexts — not a prediction.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match

Petkovic M.

5.2

Clear underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited

Monteiro T.

6.5

Marginal edgeUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited

Form & Matchup

3.0Trails 0–1 on clay

H2H

7.0Leads 1–0 on clay

2.02 of last 10 on clay

Surface form

6.87 of last 10 on clay

0.0Lost last 3

Win streak

0.0

Fatigue & Travel

3-set count

0.04 three-setters in 14 days

Context

5.0Didn't play here last year

Defending pts

5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

12 vs 22 matches

Statistics

This season

Petkovic M.Monteiro T.

1st serve in·Even

63%

64%

1st serve points won·Slight edge

66%

71%

2nd serve points won·Even

54%

53%

Service points won·Even

62%

64%

Return points won·Slight edge

41%

36%

Break points saved·Even

61%

65%

Aces / match·Clear edge

2.3

4.4

Double faults / match·Even

2.3

2.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (12 vs 22). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season

Petkovic M.serving78% hold

wins 62% of points on serve vs Monteiro T.

Monteiro T.serving73% hold

wins 60% of points on serve vs Petkovic M.

Serve advantage — Petkovic M.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Freshness

Recent load

Petkovic M.Monteiro T.

Freshness·Dominant

Petkovic M.: 8 days rest · 2 matches (14d) · Monteiro T.: 2 days rest · 4 matches, 114 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Weather forecast

18°CMainly clear

Wind 4 km/hHumidity 79%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Mika Petkovic vs Thiago Monteiro — Genoa 2 Round of 32