Stefano Travaglia vs Marvin Moeller — Genoa 2 Round of 32
Travaglia S.
Stefano Travaglia faces Marvin Moeller in the Genoa 2 round of 32 on clay. Stefano Travaglia holds the paper edge — ranked #159, a roughly 140-point clay Elo advantage. Recent clay form is closely matched.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 10:50 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Toss-up · Too close to call
Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Key context
- Fatigue load: Marvin Moeller carries the heavier recent load — 2 three-setters to 1 in the past fortnight.
- Surface form: Stefano Travaglia 3 of 9, Marvin Moeller 4 of 9 on clay recently — Marvin Moeller the sharper of late.
Common opponents
Last 12 monthsUmpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (36 vs 14). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Serve vs return
This seasonEach player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Clutch
Under pressurePerformance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About
Freshness
Recent loadTravaglia S.: 8 days rest · 3 matches (14d) · Moeller M.: 5 days rest · 2 matches, 52 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About
Conditions
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.