Alejandro Juan Mano vs Francesco PassaroGenoa 2 Round of 32

Genoa 2 · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
#625ATP
$10kYTD
$24kCAREER
21 yrs
Last 10
WWLWLWWWWL
Sets
Tuesday, 22 September 2026 ·
clay
#223ATP
1592ELO
1578Clay ELO
$100kYTD
$1.5MCAREER
25 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
LWLWWWLWWL
Mano A.
vs
Passaro F.

Alejandro Juan Mano faces Francesco Passaro in the Genoa 2 round of 32 on clay. Francesco Passaro is the paper favourite — ranked #223 — but Alejandro Juan Mano arrives in form, winning 4 of their last 6 on clay to Francesco Passaro's 3.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 10:50 UTC
Mano A.28%
Passaro F.72%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Passaro F. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

Common opponents

Last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months.
Includes tour-level, 125s, qualifying and team events (⚑). Walkovers excluded. Describes past results in different contexts — not a prediction.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
4.6
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
6.0
Even matchUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
Form & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
4.12 of last 6 on clay
Surface form
4.24 of last 10 on clay
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

9 vs 11 matches

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Clear edge
76%
64%
1st serve points won·Clear edge
56%
69%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
45%
52%
Service points won·Slight edge
54%
63%
Return points won·Slight edge
45%
37%
Break points saved·Even
59%
63%
Aces / match·Dominant
0.3
4.9
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.4
1.7

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (9 vs 11). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Mano A.serving62% hold

wins 55% of points on serve vs Passaro F.

Passaro F.serving64% hold

wins 56% of points on serve vs Mano A.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
72
95

Mano A.: 1 day rest · 2 matches, 41 games (7d) · Passaro F.: 12 days rest · 2 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Weather forecast
20°CClear
Wind 1 km/hHumidity 73%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Draw