Iliyan Radulov vs Pavel Lagutin — Plovdiv 4 Round of 32

Plovdiv 4 · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
BULWC
Iliyan Radulov
#599ATP
$16kYTD
$56kCAREER
21 yrs · 187 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
LLLWLLLWLW
—
Sets
Tuesday, 22 September 2026 ·
clay
RUSQ
Pavel Lagutin
#417ATP
$20kYTD
$29kCAREER
21 yrs
Last 10
WWLWWLWWWW
Radulov I.
vs
Lagutin P.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 08:50 UTC
Radulov I.65%
Lagutin P.35%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Radulov I. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Common opponents

Last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months.
Includes tour-level, 125s, qualifying and team events (⚑). Walkovers excluded. Describes past results in different contexts — not a prediction.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Radulov I.
5.5
Slight disadvantageUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
Lagutin P.
5.3
Clear underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
4.25 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
7.37 of last 10 on clay
0.0Lost last 3
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
3-set count
0.03 three-setters in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

3 vs 5 matches

Statistics

This season
Radulov I.Lagutin P.
1st serve in·Clear edge
61%
78%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
61%
69%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
55%
49%
Service points won·Slight edge
59%
65%
Return points won·Clear edge
41%
54%
Break points saved·Clear edge
57%
70%
Aces / match·Even
1.3
0.8
Double faults / match·Dominant
4.0
1.6

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (3 vs 5). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Radulov I.serving47% hold

wins 49% of points on serve vs Lagutin P.

Lagutin P.serving74% hold

wins 60% of points on serve vs Radulov I.

Serve advantage — Lagutin P.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Freshness

Recent load
Radulov I.Lagutin P.
Freshness·Dominant
100
64

Radulov I.: 16 days rest · Lagutin P.: 1 day rest · 4 matches, 81 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Weather forecast
21°COvercast
Wind 10 km/hHumidity 23%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Draw