Lucas Renard vs Alex Kobelt — M25 Falun Round of 32
M25 Falun · ITF · Round of 32
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Sets
Tuesday, 22 September 2026 ·
hard
Renard L.vs
Kobelt A.
Lucas Renard faces Alex Kobelt in the M25 Falun round of 32 on hard. Alex Kobelt holds the paper edge — ranked #1846.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 12:50 UTCRenard L.60%
Kobelt A.40%
Toss-up
50–58%
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+
80%+
Slight edge · Renard L. narrowly ahead
Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Key context
- Last match: Lucas Renard dropped the opening set before beating John Gabelic 6–7 6–4 10–7.
- Fatigue load: Lucas Renard carries the heavier recent load — 3 three-setters to 0 in the past fortnight.
Common opponents
Last 12 monthsNo common opponents in the last 12 months.
Includes tour-level, 125s, qualifying and team events (⚑). Walkovers excluded. Describes past results in different contexts — not a prediction.
Umpiry Score
Pre-match4.8
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limitedForm & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H5.0No prior meetings
1.72 of last 10 on hard
Surface form0.00 of last 10 on hard
0.0Lost last 4
Win streak0.0Lost last 14
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts5.0Didn't play here last year
The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
4 matches
Statistics
This season1st serve in·
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49%
1st serve points won·
—
73%
2nd serve points won·
—
37%
Service points won·
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55%
Return points won·
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31%
Break points saved·
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63%
Aces / match·
—
6.8
Double faults / match·
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8.8
Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window. ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Conditions
Weather forecast
15°CPartly cloudy
Wind 8 km/hHumidity 44%
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.