Mina Hodzic vs Elena Malygina β€” Eupago Porto Open - Porto Round of 32

Eupago Porto Open - Porto Β· CHALLENGER Β· Round of 32
#278WTA
1382ELO
1367Hard ELO
$40kYTD
$112kCAREER
24 yrs Β· Right-handed
Last 10 Β· pre-match
LLLWWWLWLL
1 β€” 2
Sets
Tuesday, 22 September 2026 Β·
hard
Court 3 Β· 1st on
#287WTA
1378ELO
1385Hard ELO
$23kYTD
$156kCAREER
26 yrs
Last 10 Β· pre-match
LWWWLWLWLW
Hodzic M.
4-6 7-5 4-6
Malygina E.
Hodzic M.
4741
Malygina E.
6562

Elena Malygina defeated Mina Hodzic 6-4 5-7 6-4 in the Eupago Porto Open - Porto round of 32 on hard.

Momentum Β· Final
Hodzic M.8/16
Malygina E.9/16

hold to 0/15to 30to 40 / deucebroken

Key context

  • Match story: Elena Malygina edged a tight contest from start to finish β€” 6–4 5–7 6–4.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve inΒ·Even
61%
62%
1st serve points wonΒ·Slight edge
65%
60%
2nd serve points wonΒ·Even
45%
46%
Service points wonΒ·Even
57%
55%
Return points wonΒ·Even
44%
47%
Break points savedΒ·Slight edge
57%
46%
Aces / matchΒ·Clear edge
2.9
1.4
Double faults / matchΒ·Clear edge
3.6
2.2

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (36 vs 27). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match Β· updated 09:50 UTC
Hodzic M.43%
Malygina E.57%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up Β· Too close to call

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.8
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
6.2
Even matchUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
4.8Hard Elo 1367
Surface ELO
5.2+18 Hard Elo edge
5.0Overall Elo 1382
ELO gap
5.0Overall Elo 1378
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
4.34 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
5.65 of last 10 on hard
0.0Lost last 3
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
3-set count
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
6.0Clay β†’ Hard
Surface transition
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors β€” matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation β€” into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
FreshnessΒ·Clear edge
94
73

Hodzic M.: 7 days rest Β· 1 match, 25 games (7d) Β· Malygina E.: 5 days rest Β· 2 matches, 65 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Draw