Keaton Hance vs Andres MartinSan Diego 2 Round of 32

San Diego 2 · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
#865ATP
$6kYTD
$11kCAREER
18 yrs
Last 10
LWLLWLLWLW
Sets
Tuesday, 22 September 2026 ·
hard
#322ATP
1337ELO
1332Hard ELO
$70kYTD
$260kCAREER
25 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
LWWLLWLLWW
Hance K.
vs
Martin A.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 10:50 UTC
Hance K.25%
Martin A.75%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Martin A. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Common opponents

Last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months.
Includes tour-level, 125s, qualifying and team events (⚑). Walkovers excluded. Describes past results in different contexts — not a prediction.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.6
Slight disadvantageUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
5.8
Slight disadvantageUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
Form & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
Surface form
5.76 of last 10 on hard
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
Country comfort
6.1Won 69% in USA (58)
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

1 vs 24 matches

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
58%
67%
1st serve points won·Even
69%
66%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
45%
50%
Service points won·Even
59%
61%
Return points won·Even
35%
38%
Break points saved·Slight edge
67%
57%
Aces / match·Clear edge
0.0
2.9
Double faults / match·Dominant
6.0
2.5

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (1 vs 24). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Hance K.serving78% hold

wins 62% of points on serve vs Martin A.

Martin A.serving80% hold

wins 63% of points on serve vs Hance K.

Even serve battle

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. Small sample — read as indicative. About

Conditions

Weather forecast
26°CDrizzle
Wind 8 km/hHumidity 87%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Draw