Mitchell Krueger vs Sebastian Gorzny — San Diego 2 Round of 32

San Diego 2 · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
Mitchell Krueger
USA
Mitchell Krueger
#372ATP
1461ELO
1436Hard ELO
$68kYTD
$2.0MCAREER
32 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
LWWLLWLWWL
—
Sets
Tuesday, 22 September 2026 ·
hard
USA
Sebastian Gorzny
#444ATP
$14kYTD
$33kCAREER
22 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10
WWLWWLWLLW
Krueger M.
vs
Gorzny S.

Mitchell Krueger faces Sebastian Gorzny in the San Diego 2 round of 32 on hard. Mitchell Krueger holds the paper edge — ranked #372. Recent hard form is closely matched.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 10:50 UTC
Krueger M.67%
Gorzny S.33%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Krueger M. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

Common opponents

Last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months.
Includes tour-level, 125s, qualifying and team events (⚑). Walkovers excluded. Describes past results in different contexts — not a prediction.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Krueger M.
5.7
Slight disadvantageUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
Gorzny S.
5.2
Clear underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
3.53 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
6.56 of last 10 on hard
0.0
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
6.2Won 71% in USA (24)
Country comfort
5.5Won 59% in USA (56)
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

18 matches

Statistics

This season
Krueger M.Gorzny S.
1st serve in·
66%
—
1st serve points won·
68%
—
2nd serve points won·
47%
—
Service points won·
61%
—
Return points won·
37%
—
Break points saved·
57%
—
Aces / match·
2.1
—
Double faults / match·
1.9
—

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window. ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Freshness

Recent load
Krueger M.Gorzny S.
Freshness·Clear edge
72
60

Krueger M.: 4 days rest · 3 matches, 87 games (7d) · Gorzny S.: 1 day rest · 5 matches, 107 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Weather forecast
27°CDrizzle
Wind 5 km/hHumidity 82%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Draw