Tyler Zink vs Federico Agustin GomezSan Diego 2 Round of 32

San Diego 2 · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
#337ATP
1371ELO
1351Hard ELO
$38kYTD
$202kCAREER
25 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
LLLWLLWLWW
Sets
Tuesday, 22 September 2026 ·
hard
#200ATP
1445ELO
1403Hard ELO
$118kYTD
$772kCAREER
29 yrs · 191 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
LWLLWWLLWW
Zink T.
vs
Gomez F.

Tyler Zink faces Federico Agustin Gomez in the San Diego 2 round of 32 on hard. Federico Agustin Gomez holds the paper edge — ranked #200, a roughly 50-point hard Elo advantage.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 10:50 UTC
Zink T.42%
Gomez F.58%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

Common opponents

Last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months.
Includes tour-level, 125s, qualifying and team events (⚑). Walkovers excluded. Describes past results in different contexts — not a prediction.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.4
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
5.9
Even matchUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
4.4Hard Elo 1351
Surface ELO
5.6+52 Hard Elo edge
4.1Overall Elo 1371
ELO gap
5.9Overall Elo 1445
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
3.24 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
2.63 of last 10 on hard
0.0Lost last 3
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
5.6Won 60% in USA (120)
Country comfort
5.8Won 63% in USA (38)
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

26 vs 22 matches

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
59%
63%
1st serve points won·Even
71%
69%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
54%
49%
Service points won·Even
64%
62%
Return points won·Even
39%
37%
Break points saved·Even
64%
61%
Aces / match·Even
5.3
5.5
Double faults / match·Dominant
1.4
3.9

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (26 vs 22). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Zink T.serving85% hold

wins 66% of points on serve vs Gomez F.

Gomez F.serving78% hold

wins 62% of points on serve vs Zink T.

Serve advantage — Zink T.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
93
86

Zink T.: 8 days rest · 1 match (14d) · Gomez F.: 5 days rest · 2 matches, 46 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Weather forecast
27°CDrizzle
Wind 9 km/hHumidity 83%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Draw