Felix Gill vs Alexander Vasilev | Plovdiv 4 Round of 32

Plovdiv 4 · CHALLENGER · Round of 32

GBR6

Felix Gill

#211ATP

1499ELO

1424Clay ELO

$216kYTD

$389kCAREER

24 yrs · 175 cm · Left-handed

Last 10

LWWLLLWLLW

—

Sets

Tuesday, 22 September 2026 · 14:30

clay

BULWC

Alexander Vasilev

#609ATP

1443ELO

1396Clay ELO

$15kYTD

$23kCAREER

19 yrs

Last 10

LWWLLWWLLW

Gill F.

Vasilev A.

Felix Gill faces Alexander Vasilev in the Plovdiv 4 round of 32 on clay. Felix Gill holds the paper edge — ranked #211, a roughly 30-point clay Elo advantage. Recent clay form is closely matched.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 09:50 UTC

Gill F.77%

Vasilev A.23%

Toss-up
50–58%

Slight edge
58–67%

Clear favourite
67–80%

Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Gill F. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

Fatigue load: Both played one three-setter in the past fortnight — neither arrives fresh.
Surface form: Both 2 of 4 on clay recently — court-specific quality nearly identical despite the ranking gap.

Common opponents

Last 12 months

No common opponents in the last 12 months.

Includes tour-level, 125s, qualifying and team events (⚑). Walkovers excluded. Describes past results in different contexts — not a prediction.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match

Gill F.

6.0

Even matchUmpiry Score

Vasilev A.

4.9

Heavy underdogUmpiry Score

Form & Matchup

5.4+29 Clay Elo edge

Surface ELO

4.6Clay Elo 1396

5.7Overall Elo 1499

ELO gap

4.3Overall Elo 1443

5.0No prior meetings

H2H

5.0No prior meetings

4.95 of last 10 on clay

Surface form

3.44 of last 10 on clay

0.0

Win streak

0.0Lost last 3

Fatigue & Travel

7.01 three-setter in 14 days

3-set count

Surface transition

6.0Hard → Clay

Context

5.0Didn't play here last year

Defending pts

5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

27 vs 4 matches

Statistics

This season

Gill F.Vasilev A.

1st serve in·Even

65%

62%

1st serve points won·Slight edge

69%

58%

2nd serve points won·Clear edge

54%

39%

Service points won·Clear edge

64%

51%

Return points won·Slight edge

35%

41%

Break points saved·Even

62%

58%

Aces / match·Slight edge

4.4

3.3

Double faults / match·Dominant

1.6

6.5

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (27 vs 4). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season

Gill F.serving74% hold

wins 60% of points on serve vs Vasilev A.

Vasilev A.serving66% hold

wins 56% of points on serve vs Gill F.

Serve advantage — Gill F.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Freshness

Recent load

Gill F.Vasilev A.

Freshness·

—

Gill F.: 4 days rest · 2 matches, 44 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Weather forecast

22°CPartly cloudy

Wind 11 km/hHumidity 25%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Felix Gill vs Alexander Vasilev — Plovdiv 4 Round of 32