Michael Geerts vs Carlos Sanchez JoverPlovdiv 4 Round of 32

Plovdiv 4 · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
#343ATP
1400ELO
1348Clay ELO
$29kYTD
$456kCAREER
31 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWLWWWLL
0 — 2
Sets
Tuesday, 22 September 2026 ·
clay
#334ATP
1360ELO
1341Clay ELO
$34kYTD
$228kCAREER
26 yrs · 173 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWLWWWWW
Geerts M.
4-6 5-7
Sanchez Jover C.
Geerts M.
450
Sanchez Jover C.
672

Carlos Sanchez Jover defeated Michael Geerts in the Round of 32 of the Plovdiv 4 tournament on clay, winning 6-4, 7-5. Sanchez Jover hit 0 aces and 1 double fault, while Geerts had 1 ace and 5 double faults. Both players converted 14% and 17% of break points respectively and each won 1 service break.

Generated automatically from Umpiry match data.

Momentum · Final
Geerts M.6/11
Sanchez Jover C.9/12

hold to 0/15to 30to 40 / deucebroken

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
57%
65%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
74%
63%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
53%
48%
Service points won·Slight edge
65%
58%
Return points won·Slight edge
35%
43%
Break points saved·Even
62%
59%
Aces / match·Dominant
5.3
1.7
Double faults / match·Even
2.6
2.7

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (18 vs 23). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
9
28
Break points saved·Dominant
82
26
Break points won·Dominant
3
52
Deciding sets·Dominant
8
64
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
2
21

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 07:50 UTC
Geerts M.31%
Sanchez Jover C.69%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Sanchez Jover C. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.1
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
6.1
Even matchUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
5.1+7 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.9Clay Elo 1341
5.5Overall Elo 1400
ELO gap
4.5Overall Elo 1360
5.0First meeting on clay
H2H
5.0First meeting on clay
2.02 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
5.46 of last 10 on clay
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
6.0Hard → Clay
Surface transition
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
94

Sanchez Jover C.: 9 days rest · 2 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Weather
18°COvercast
Wind 16 km/hHumidity 41%

Draw