Kaua Lorenzo Santos Gava vs Pedro Sakamoto

M15 Curitiba · ITF · Round of 32

BRA

Kaua Lorenzo Santos Gava

#1819ATP

22 yrs

Last 10

LWLWLLWLWW

—

Sets

Tuesday, 22 September 2026 · 11:35

clay

BRA2

Pedro Sakamoto

#506ATP

1281ELO

1266Clay ELO

$16kYTD

$292kCAREER

33 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed

Last 10

LWWWWWWLLL

Lorenzo Santos Gava K.

Sakamoto P.

Kaua Lorenzo Santos Gava faces Pedro Sakamoto in the M15 Curitiba round of 32 on clay. Pedro Sakamoto holds the paper edge — ranked #506.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 12:50 UTC

Lorenzo Santos Gava K.19%

Sakamoto P.81%

Toss-up
50–58%

Slight edge
58–67%

Clear favourite
67–80%

Strong favourite
80%+

Strong favourite · Sakamoto P. heavily favoured

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

Fatigue load: Pedro Sakamoto carries the heavier recent load — 3 three-setters to 0 in the past fortnight.
Surface form: Kaua Lorenzo Santos Gava 3 of 7, Pedro Sakamoto 4 of 7 on clay recently — Pedro Sakamoto the sharper of late.

Common opponents

Last 12 months

No common opponents in the last 12 months.

Includes tour-level, 125s, qualifying and team events (⚑). Walkovers excluded. Describes past results in different contexts — not a prediction.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match

Lorenzo Santos Gava K.

5.6

Slight disadvantageUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited

Sakamoto P.

5.2

Clear underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited

Form & Matchup

5.0No prior meetings

H2H

5.0No prior meetings

Surface form

3.84 of last 10 on clay

0.0

Win streak

0.0Lost last 3

Fatigue & Travel

6.0Hard → Clay

Surface transition

6.0Hard → Clay

Context

5.0Didn't play here last year

Defending pts

5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

1 vs 21 matches

Statistics

This season

Lorenzo Santos Gava K.Sakamoto P.

1st serve in·Slight edge

68%

63%

1st serve points won·Clear edge

78%

66%

2nd serve points won·Clear edge

37%

50%

Service points won·Slight edge

65%

60%

Return points won·Even

39%

37%

Break points saved·Clear edge

50%

66%

Aces / match·Clear edge

2.0

3.6

Double faults / match·Dominant

0.0

2.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (1 vs 21). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season

Lorenzo Santos Gava K.serving78% hold

wins 62% of points on serve vs Sakamoto P.

Sakamoto P.serving70% hold

wins 58% of points on serve vs Lorenzo Santos Gava K.

Serve advantage — Lorenzo Santos Gava K.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. Small sample — read as indicative. About

Conditions

Weather forecast

22°CDrizzle

Wind 12 km/hHumidity 71%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Kaua Lorenzo Santos Gava vs Pedro Sakamoto — M15 Curitiba Round of 32