Anastasia Tikhonova vs Anastasia GasanovaAnkara Open - Ankara Round of 32

Ankara Open - Ankara · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
#250WTA
1347ELO
1302Hard ELO
$56kYTD
$533kCAREER
25 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWLWWLWL
0 — 2
Sets
Tuesday, 22 September 2026 ·
hard
Lexus Court · 1st on
#195WTA
1491ELO
1485Hard ELO
$273kYTD
$757kCAREER
27 yrs · 172 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWWWLWWL
Tikhonova A.
2-6 4-6
Gasanova A.
Tikhonova A.
240
Gasanova A.
662

Anastasia Gasanova defeated Anastasia Tikhonova in the Round of 32 of the Ankara Open, prevailing 6-2, 6-4 on hard courts in Ankara. Gasanova hit one ace and two double faults, while converting 57 percent of her break points and securing four service breaks. Tikhonova recorded two aces and eight double faults, converting 50 percent of her break points and securing one service break.

Generated automatically from Umpiry match data.

Momentum · Final
Tikhonova A.4/9
Gasanova A.7/9

hold to 0/15to 30to 40 / deucebroken

Key context

Head to head

20
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2021-03-11W25 KazanR16hardAnastasia Tikhonova6-4 7-6(4)
2021-02-25W25 MoscowR16hardAnastasia Tikhonova7-6(8) 6-2

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Clear edge
52%
65%
1st serve points won·Even
62%
61%
2nd serve points won·Even
43%
44%
Service points won·Even
53%
55%
Return points won·Slight edge
42%
48%
Break points saved·Even
52%
52%
Aces / match·Clear edge
2.7
0.9
Double faults / match·Slight edge
4.9
5.6

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (22 vs 34). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
0
36
Break points saved·Slight edge
13
21
Break points won·Clear edge
78
100
Deciding sets·Dominant
1
78
Tiebreaks·
4

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 07:50 UTC
Tikhonova A.23%
Gasanova A.77%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Gasanova A. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.3
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
6.4
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
2.7Hard Elo 1302
Surface ELO
7.3+183 Hard Elo edge
3.2Overall Elo 1347
ELO gap
6.8Overall Elo 1491
5.0First meeting on hard
H2H
5.0First meeting on hard
4.75 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
3.34 of last 10 on hard
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
0.0Lost last 3
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
86
93

Tikhonova A.: 6 days rest · 1 match, 14 games (7d) · Gasanova A.: 7 days rest · 1 match, 25 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Weather
21°CPartly cloudy
Wind 4 km/hHumidity 55%

Draw