Ryan Nijboer vs Francesco FortiGenoa 2 Round of 32

Genoa 2 · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
#415ATP
$16kYTD
$188kCAREER
27 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
LWWWWWWWWW
Sets
Tuesday, 22 September 2026 ·
clay
#357ATP
1399ELO
1372Clay ELO
$30kYTD
$226kCAREER
27 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
LWLWWLWWLL
Nijboer R.
vs
Forti F.

Ryan Nijboer faces Francesco Forti in the Genoa 2 round of 32 on clay. They have met once, Ryan Nijboer leading 1–0. Ryan Nijboer brings the better recent clay form (9 of 10).

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 08:50 UTC
Nijboer R.48%
Forti F.52%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

Common opponents

Last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months.
Includes tour-level, 125s, qualifying and team events (⚑). Walkovers excluded. Describes past results in different contexts — not a prediction.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.0
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
6.0
Even matchUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
Form & Matchup
7.0Leads 1–0 on clay
H2H
3.0Trails 0–1 on clay
5.36 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
5.76 of last 10 on clay
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

11 vs 13 matches

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
60%
65%
1st serve points won·Even
73%
76%
2nd serve points won·Even
52%
53%
Service points won·Even
64%
68%
Return points won·Even
39%
36%
Break points saved·Slight edge
59%
64%
Aces / match·Clear edge
5.0
7.2
Double faults / match·Even
1.6
1.5

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (11 vs 13). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Nijboer R.serving81% hold

wins 64% of points on serve vs Forti F.

Forti F.serving83% hold

wins 65% of points on serve vs Nijboer R.

Even serve battle

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
0
31
Break points saved·Dominant
35
67
Break points won·Clear edge
15
2
Deciding sets·Dominant
2
50
Tiebreaks·Dominant
10
66

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
70
89

Nijboer R.: 1 day rest · 2 matches, 47 games (7d) · Forti F.: 5 days rest · 2 matches, 35 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Weather forecast
19°CMainly clear
Wind 3 km/hHumidity 75%

Head to head

10
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-03-13M15 Antalya 8R16clayRyan Nijboer6-3 4-1

Draw