Sebastian Gima vs Jonas ForejtekPlovdiv 4 Round of 32

Plovdiv 4 · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
#605ATP
1179ELO
1183Clay ELO
$15kYTD
$106kCAREER
24 yrs · Left-handed
Last 10
WWLWWLWLWW
Sets
Tuesday, 22 September 2026 ·
clay
#433ATP
1387ELO
1364Clay ELO
$38kYTD
$255kCAREER
25 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
LLLWLLWWLL
Gima S.
vs
Forejtek J.

Sebastian Gima faces Jonas Forejtek in the Plovdiv 4 round of 32 on clay. Jonas Forejtek is the paper favourite — ranked #433, a roughly 180-point clay Elo advantage — but Sebastian Gima arrives in form, winning 7 of their last 10 on clay to Jonas Forejtek's 3.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 10:50 UTC
Gima S.28%
Forejtek J.72%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Forejtek J. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

Common opponents

Last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months.
Includes tour-level, 125s, qualifying and team events (⚑). Walkovers excluded. Describes past results in different contexts — not a prediction.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
4.4
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
5.8
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
2.7Clay Elo 1183
Surface ELO
7.3+180 Clay Elo edge
2.4Overall Elo 1179
ELO gap
7.6Overall Elo 1387
3.0Trails 0–1 on clay
H2H
7.0Leads 1–0 on clay
6.06 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
1.11 of last 10 on clay
Win streak
0.0Lost last 3
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

11 vs 33 matches

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
59%
65%
1st serve points won·Even
67%
70%
2nd serve points won·Even
53%
50%
Service points won·Even
62%
64%
Return points won·Even
39%
40%
Break points saved·Clear edge
54%
67%
Aces / match·Even
3.5
3.8
Double faults / match·Clear edge
2.7
1.6

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (11 vs 33). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Gima S.serving70% hold

wins 58% of points on serve vs Forejtek J.

Forejtek J.serving76% hold

wins 61% of points on serve vs Gima S.

Serve advantage — Forejtek J.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
71
91

Gima S.: 1 day rest · 2 matches, 44 games (7d) · Forejtek J.: 8 days rest · 2 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Weather forecast
22°CPartly cloudy
Wind 11 km/hHumidity 24%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Draw