Tomas Farjat vs Juan Pablo Varillas | Buenos Aires Round of 32

Buenos Aires · CHALLENGER · Round of 32

ARG

Tomas Farjat

#835ATP

$4kYTD

$93kCAREER

25 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed

Last 10

WWLLLWWWWL

—

Sets

Tuesday, 22 September 2026 · 10:00

clay

PER6

Juan Pablo Varillas

#196ATP

1440ELO

1431Clay ELO

$48kYTD

$1.9MCAREER

30 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed

Last 10

LWWLWWWWLL

Farjat T.

Varillas J.

Tomas Farjat faces Juan Pablo Varillas in the Buenos Aires round of 32 on clay. Juan Pablo Varillas holds the paper edge — ranked #196. Recent clay form is closely matched.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 09:50 UTC

Farjat T.40%

Varillas J.60%

Toss-up
50–58%

Slight edge
58–67%

Clear favourite
67–80%

Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Varillas J. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

Freshness: Workload contrast: Tomas Farjat 41 games in 14 days, Juan Pablo Varillas 70.
Last match: Tomas Farjat dropped just 6 games past Bruno Fernandez.
Surface form: Both 6 of 9 on clay recently — court-specific quality nearly identical despite the ranking gap.

Common opponents

Last 12 months

No common opponents in the last 12 months.

Includes tour-level, 125s, qualifying and team events (⚑). Walkovers excluded. Describes past results in different contexts — not a prediction.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match

Farjat T.

5.3

Clear underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited

Back-to-back day (−0.5)

Varillas J.

6.4

Marginal edgeUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited

Form & Matchup

5.0First meeting on clay

H2H

5.0First meeting on clay

6.86 of last 10 on clay

Surface form

6.77 of last 10 on clay

Win streak

0.0

Fatigue & Travel

3-set count

7.01 three-setter in 14 days

Context

5.0Didn't play here last year

Defending pts

5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

5 vs 28 matches

Statistics

This season

Farjat T.Varillas J.

1st serve in·Slight edge

52%

57%

1st serve points won·Slight edge

73%

66%

2nd serve points won·Slight edge

41%

51%

Service points won·Even

58%

60%

Return points won·Even

39%

42%

Break points saved·Even

60%

59%

Aces / match·Dominant

6.8

2.7

Double faults / match·Dominant

5.6

1.5

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (5 vs 28). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season

Farjat T.serving59% hold

wins 54% of points on serve vs Varillas J.

Varillas J.serving69% hold

wins 58% of points on serve vs Farjat T.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Freshness

Recent load

Farjat T.Varillas J.

Freshness·Clear edge

Farjat T.: 1 day rest · 2 matches, 41 games (7d) · Varillas J.: 11 days rest · 3 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed

Slowlow bounce, long rallies

SlowFast

Weather forecast

9°COvercast

Wind 16 km/hHumidity 56%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Tomas Farjat vs Juan Pablo Varillas — Buenos Aires Round of 32