Jack Kennedy vs Liam Draxl — San Diego 2 Round of 32
San Diego 2 · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
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Sets
Tuesday, 22 September 2026 ·
hard
CAN6#209ATP
1592ELO
1565Hard ELO
$267kYTD
$718kCAREER
24 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
WLWWLLLWWW
Kennedy J.vs
Draxl L.
Jack Kennedy faces Liam Draxl in the San Diego 2 round of 32 on hard. Liam Draxl holds the paper edge — ranked #209, a roughly 150-point hard Elo advantage. Recent hard form is closely matched.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 10:50 UTCKennedy J.28%
Draxl L.72%
Toss-up
50–58%
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+
80%+
Clear favourite · Draxl L. clearly ahead, but no certainty
Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Key context
- Surface form: Both 3 of 6 on hard recently — court-specific quality nearly identical despite the ranking gap.
Common opponents
Last 12 monthsNo common opponents in the last 12 months.
Includes tour-level, 125s, qualifying and team events (⚑). Walkovers excluded. Describes past results in different contexts — not a prediction.
Umpiry Score
Pre-match5.3
Clear underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited6.7
Slight advantageUmpiry ScoreForm & Matchup
3.1Hard Elo 1410
Surface ELO6.9+155 Hard Elo edge
4.9Overall Elo 1581
ELO gap5.1Overall Elo 1592
5.0No prior meetings
H2H5.0No prior meetings
Surface form
5.96 of last 10 on hard
0.0Lost last 4
Win streakFatigue & Travel
5.5Won 59% in USA (22)
Country comfort6.3Won 71% in USA (66)
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts5.0Didn't play here last year
The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
28 matches
Statistics
This season1st serve in·
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64%
1st serve points won·
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68%
2nd serve points won·
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47%
Service points won·
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60%
Return points won·
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40%
Break points saved·
—
56%
Aces / match·
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4.6
Double faults / match·
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2.8
Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window. ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Freshness
Recent loadFreshness·
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92
Draxl L.: 4 days rest · 1 match, 20 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About
Conditions
Weather forecast
27°CDrizzle
Wind 9 km/hHumidity 83%
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.