Joao Domingues vs Rafael Izquierdo Luque β€” M25 Setubal Round of 32

M25 Setubal Β· ITF Β· Round of 32
#598ATP
$18kYTD
$571kCAREER
32 yrs Β· 178 cm Β· Right-handed
Last 10 Β· pre-match
LLLLWLWWLL
2 β€” 1
Sets
Tuesday, 22 September 2026 Β·
hard
#700ATP
$8kYTD
$42kCAREER
26 yrs Β· Right-handed
Last 10 Β· pre-match
LLLWLLWWLL
Domingues J.
6-4 3-6 6-1
Izquierdo Luque R.
Domingues J.
6362
Izquierdo Luque R.
4611

Joao Domingues defeated Rafael Izquierdo Luque in the Round of 32 at the M25 Setubal tournament. The match ended with a score of 6-4, 3-6, 6-1 in favor of Domingues. He hit 4 aces and no double faults, while converting 60% of his break points and securing 3 service breaks to Izquierdo Luque's 1.

Generated automatically from Umpiry match data.

Momentum Β· Final
Domingues J.8/13
Izquierdo Luque R.6/13

hold to 0/15to 30to 40 / deucebroken

Key context

  • Match story: Joao Domingues came through a tight passage before pulling clear β€” 6–4 3–6 6–1.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve inΒ·Even
67%
69%
1st serve points wonΒ·Even
59%
57%
2nd serve points wonΒ·Even
50%
50%
Service points wonΒ·Even
56%
55%
Return points wonΒ·Slight edge
40%
35%
Break points savedΒ·Clear edge
52%
65%
Aces / matchΒ·Slight edge
0.5
1.4
Double faults / matchΒ·Dominant
1.5
3.2

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (11 vs 5). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match Β· updated 09:50 UTC
Domingues J.65%
Izquierdo Luque R.35%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge Β· Domingues J. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.0
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial Β· surface data limited
5.0
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial Β· surface data limited
Form & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
3.74 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
0.0Lost last 4
Win streak
0.0Lost last 5
Fatigue & Travel
Surface transition
6.0Clay β†’ Hard
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors β€” matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation β€” into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Conditions

Weather
26Β°CClear
Wind 4 km/hHumidity 41%

Draw