Lucio Ratti vs Federico Coria — Buenos Aires Round of 32
Buenos Aires · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
ARGALT#373ATP
1374ELO
1350Clay ELO
$24kYTD
$60kCAREER
22 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
LLWWLWLWLW
—
Sets
Tuesday, 22 September 2026 ·
clay
ARGWC#897ATP
1537ELO
1515Clay ELO
$89kYTD
$3.5MCAREER
34 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
LLLLLWLWLL
Ratti L.vs
Coria F.
Lucio Ratti faces Federico Coria in the Buenos Aires round of 32 on clay. Lucio Ratti holds the paper edge — ranked #373.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 10:50 UTCRatti L.60%
Coria F.40%
Toss-up
50–58%
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+
80%+
Slight edge · Ratti L. narrowly ahead
Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Key context
- Form trend: Form trajectories diverge: Lucio Ratti rising, Federico Coria cooling.
- Surface form: Lucio Ratti 3 of 7, Federico Coria 1 of 7 on clay recently — Lucio Ratti the sharper of late.
Common opponents
Last 12 monthsNo common opponents in the last 12 months.
Includes tour-level, 125s, qualifying and team events (⚑). Walkovers excluded. Describes past results in different contexts — not a prediction.
Umpiry Score
Pre-matchForm & Matchup
2.9Clay Elo 1350
Surface ELO7.1+165 Clay Elo edge
3.0Overall Elo 1374
ELO gap7.0Overall Elo 1537
5.0No prior meetings
H2H5.0No prior meetings
4.65 of last 10 on clay
Surface form2.43 of last 10 on clay
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak0.0Lost last 5
Fatigue & Travel
Surface transition
6.0Hard → Clay
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts5.0Didn't play here last year
The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
20 vs 8 matches
Statistics
This season1st serve in·Even
67%
66%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
66%
60%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
53%
46%
Service points won·Slight edge
62%
55%
Return points won·Slight edge
44%
33%
Break points saved·Even
60%
60%
Aces / match·Even
2.0
1.6
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.9
2.5
Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (20 vs 8). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Serve vs return
This seasonServe advantage — Ratti L.
Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Conditions
Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Weather forecast
12°COvercast
Wind 11 km/hHumidity 42%
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.